Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to daytime maximum temperatures in Shenzhen on August 8 clustering near 35–36°C, driven by a ridge of high pressure promoting mostly sunny conditions, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation typical of the East Asian summer monsoon pattern. This setup contrasts with the early-August climatological average of around 32°C, with recent runs showing modest upward revisions from persistent clear skies rather than significant moisture or frontal activity. Trader consensus in the 36°C (32%) and 35°C (25.5%) brackets reflects model agreement on peak heating before any evening cloud buildup, while the spread to 37°C or lower outcomes captures remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and localized urban heat island effects. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely tighten resolution ahead of the daily observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 8?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 8?
36°C 32%
35°C 25%
34°C 17%
37°C 17%
НОВЕ
$13,432 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,432 Обс.
Aug 8, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
9%
34°C
17%
35°C
25%
36°C
32%
37°C
17%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 32%
35°C 25%
34°C 17%
37°C 17%
НОВЕ
$13,432 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,432 Обс.
Aug 8, 2026
30°C or below
$639 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$717 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$1,296 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$1,676 Обс.
9%
34°C
$1,053 Обс.
17%
35°C
$1,321 Обс.
25%
36°C
$1,548 Обс.
32%
37°C
$1,150 Обс.
17%
38°C
$810 Обс.
3%
39°C
$575 Обс.
1%
40°C or higher
$2,646 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to daytime maximum temperatures in Shenzhen on August 8 clustering near 35–36°C, driven by a ridge of high pressure promoting mostly sunny conditions, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation typical of the East Asian summer monsoon pattern. This setup contrasts with the early-August climatological average of around 32°C, with recent runs showing modest upward revisions from persistent clear skies rather than significant moisture or frontal activity. Trader consensus in the 36°C (32%) and 35°C (25.5%) brackets reflects model agreement on peak heating before any evening cloud buildup, while the spread to 37°C or lower outcomes captures remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and localized urban heat island effects. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely tighten resolution ahead of the daily observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,432Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to daytime maximum temperatures in Shenzhen on August 8 clustering near 35–36°C, driven by a ridge of high pressure promoting mostly sunny conditions, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation typical of the East Asian summer monsoon pattern. This setup contrasts with the early-August climatological average of around 32°C, with recent runs showing modest upward revisions from persistent clear skies rather than significant moisture or frontal activity. Trader consensus in the 36°C (32%) and 35°C (25.5%) brackets reflects model agreement on peak heating before any evening cloud buildup, while the spread to 37°C or lower outcomes captures remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and localized urban heat island effects. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely tighten resolution ahead of the daily observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$13,432Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to daytime maximum temperatures in Shenzhen on August 8 clustering near 35–36°C, driven by a ridge of high pressure promoting mostly sunny conditions, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation typical of the East Asian summer monsoon pattern. This setup contrasts with the early-August climatological average of around 32°C, with recent runs showing modest upward revisions from persistent clear skies rather than significant moisture or frontal activity. Trader consensus in the 36°C (32%) and 35°C (25.5%) brackets reflects model agreement on peak heating before any evening cloud buildup, while the spread to 37°C or lower outcomes captures remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and localized urban heat island effects. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely tighten resolution ahead of the daily observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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