Recent forecast models highlight persistent cloud cover, humidity, and moderate to heavy rainfall from monsoon influences as the main drivers keeping Shanghai's minimum temperatures elevated around 26–27°C on August 10. These conditions reduce radiative cooling overnight, consistent with official guidance showing lows near 26°C amid overcast skies and flash flood risks. Historical August climatology supports typical minima of 25–26°C, but the current pattern favors the higher end of that range, aligning with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or precipitation intensity could adjust these odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 10?
27°C 53%
26°C 18%
28°C 18%
25°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
7%
26°C
18%
27°C
53%
28°C
18%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 53%
26°C 18%
28°C 18%
25°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Обс.
2%
22°C
$476 Обс.
2%
23°C
$468 Обс.
3%
24°C
$353 Обс.
6%
25°C
$0 Обс.
7%
26°C
$23 Обс.
18%
27°C
$346 Обс.
53%
28°C
$16 Обс.
18%
29°C
$19 Обс.
5%
30°C
$27 Обс.
1%
31°C or higher
$27 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models highlight persistent cloud cover, humidity, and moderate to heavy rainfall from monsoon influences as the main drivers keeping Shanghai's minimum temperatures elevated around 26–27°C on August 10. These conditions reduce radiative cooling overnight, consistent with official guidance showing lows near 26°C amid overcast skies and flash flood risks. Historical August climatology supports typical minima of 25–26°C, but the current pattern favors the higher end of that range, aligning with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or precipitation intensity could adjust these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,761Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models highlight persistent cloud cover, humidity, and moderate to heavy rainfall from monsoon influences as the main drivers keeping Shanghai's minimum temperatures elevated around 26–27°C on August 10. These conditions reduce radiative cooling overnight, consistent with official guidance showing lows near 26°C amid overcast skies and flash flood risks. Historical August climatology supports typical minima of 25–26°C, but the current pattern favors the higher end of that range, aligning with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or precipitation intensity could adjust these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,761Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models highlight persistent cloud cover, humidity, and moderate to heavy rainfall from monsoon influences as the main drivers keeping Shanghai's minimum temperatures elevated around 26–27°C on August 10. These conditions reduce radiative cooling overnight, consistent with official guidance showing lows near 26°C amid overcast skies and flash flood risks. Historical August climatology supports typical minima of 25–26°C, but the current pattern favors the higher end of that range, aligning with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or precipitation intensity could adjust these odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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