Recent forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office indicate moderating conditions over the North Sea region, with a westerly flow bringing cooler maritime air after early August heat peaks near 33°C. This supports model consensus for a daily maximum around 21–22°C in Amsterdam on the 11th, consistent with historical late-summer baselines of 21–22°C highs. Ensemble runs show limited warming potential from persistent high pressure, keeping 23°C and 24°C outcomes as secondary probabilities while suppressing extremes above 25°C. Updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 11?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 11?
22°C 42%
23°C 30%
21°C 17%
24°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 11, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
11%
21°C
17%
22°C
42%
23°C
30%
24°C
12%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
22°C 42%
23°C 30%
21°C 17%
24°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 11, 2026
18°C or below
$7 Обс.
1%
19°C
$12 Обс.
1%
20°C
$32 Обс.
11%
21°C
$0 Обс.
17%
22°C
$110 Обс.
42%
23°C
$0 Обс.
30%
24°C
$0 Обс.
12%
25°C
$0 Обс.
6%
26°C
$28 Обс.
3%
27°C
$17 Обс.
1%
28°C or higher
$7 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office indicate moderating conditions over the North Sea region, with a westerly flow bringing cooler maritime air after early August heat peaks near 33°C. This supports model consensus for a daily maximum around 21–22°C in Amsterdam on the 11th, consistent with historical late-summer baselines of 21–22°C highs. Ensemble runs show limited warming potential from persistent high pressure, keeping 23°C and 24°C outcomes as secondary probabilities while suppressing extremes above 25°C. Updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$213Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office indicate moderating conditions over the North Sea region, with a westerly flow bringing cooler maritime air after early August heat peaks near 33°C. This supports model consensus for a daily maximum around 21–22°C in Amsterdam on the 11th, consistent with historical late-summer baselines of 21–22°C highs. Ensemble runs show limited warming potential from persistent high pressure, keeping 23°C and 24°C outcomes as secondary probabilities while suppressing extremes above 25°C. Updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$213Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office indicate moderating conditions over the North Sea region, with a westerly flow bringing cooler maritime air after early August heat peaks near 33°C. This supports model consensus for a daily maximum around 21–22°C in Amsterdam on the 11th, consistent with historical late-summer baselines of 21–22°C highs. Ensemble runs show limited warming potential from persistent high pressure, keeping 23°C and 24°C outcomes as secondary probabilities while suppressing extremes above 25°C. Updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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