Recent forecast updates from global models, including ECMWF runs, point to persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall suppressing daytime heating in Shanghai on August 10, driving trader consensus toward 28–30°C highs. Official guidance shows a sharp cooldown from earlier August peaks near 34–35°C, with Aug 9–10 precipitation totals exceeding 150 mm in some projections and overcast skies limiting solar radiation. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 29°C (40.5%), followed by 30°C and 28°C, as the pattern deviates below the early-August climatological average of 31–32°C. Upcoming model runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 10?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 10?
29°C 44%
30°C 24%
28°C 20%
31°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
20%
29°C
44%
30°C
24%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 44%
30°C 24%
28°C 20%
31°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
23°C or below
$272 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$208 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$44 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$277 Обс.
1%
27°C
$704 Обс.
6%
28°C
$484 Обс.
20%
29°C
$1,250 Обс.
44%
30°C
$934 Обс.
24%
31°C
$908 Обс.
9%
32°C
$849 Обс.
3%
33°C or higher
$489 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from global models, including ECMWF runs, point to persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall suppressing daytime heating in Shanghai on August 10, driving trader consensus toward 28–30°C highs. Official guidance shows a sharp cooldown from earlier August peaks near 34–35°C, with Aug 9–10 precipitation totals exceeding 150 mm in some projections and overcast skies limiting solar radiation. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 29°C (40.5%), followed by 30°C and 28°C, as the pattern deviates below the early-August climatological average of 31–32°C. Upcoming model runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,418Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from global models, including ECMWF runs, point to persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall suppressing daytime heating in Shanghai on August 10, driving trader consensus toward 28–30°C highs. Official guidance shows a sharp cooldown from earlier August peaks near 34–35°C, with Aug 9–10 precipitation totals exceeding 150 mm in some projections and overcast skies limiting solar radiation. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 29°C (40.5%), followed by 30°C and 28°C, as the pattern deviates below the early-August climatological average of 31–32°C. Upcoming model runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,418Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from global models, including ECMWF runs, point to persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall suppressing daytime heating in Shanghai on August 10, driving trader consensus toward 28–30°C highs. Official guidance shows a sharp cooldown from earlier August peaks near 34–35°C, with Aug 9–10 precipitation totals exceeding 150 mm in some projections and overcast skies limiting solar radiation. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 29°C (40.5%), followed by 30°C and 28°C, as the pattern deviates below the early-August climatological average of 31–32°C. Upcoming model runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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