Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs project Tokyo's overnight low on August 12 near 23°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that suppress radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the 23.7°C August climatological normal, reinforced by the urban heat-island effect that retains warmth in the dense built environment. Traders have consolidated near-certain implied probability on 23°C because current synoptic conditions and model consensus strongly support this range. Modest uncertainty persists around rainfall timing or brief clear spells that could permit 1°C additional cooling to 22°C, while outcomes below 21°C or above 24°C remain improbable without unexpected marine air intrusion or steering flow changes; evening observations will refine the final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 12?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 12?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$12,056 Обс.
$12,056 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$12,056 Обс.
$12,056 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
18°C or below
$977 Обс.
No
19°C
$1,005 Обс.
No
20°C
$1,518 Обс.
No
21°C
$824 Обс.
No
22°C
$1,044 Обс.
No
23°C
$1,937 Обс.
Yes
24°C
$2,711 Обс.
No
25°C
$824 Обс.
No
26°C
$385 Обс.
No
27°C
$420 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$410 Обс.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs project Tokyo's overnight low on August 12 near 23°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that suppress radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the 23.7°C August climatological normal, reinforced by the urban heat-island effect that retains warmth in the dense built environment. Traders have consolidated near-certain implied probability on 23°C because current synoptic conditions and model consensus strongly support this range. Modest uncertainty persists around rainfall timing or brief clear spells that could permit 1°C additional cooling to 22°C, while outcomes below 21°C or above 24°C remain improbable without unexpected marine air intrusion or steering flow changes; evening observations will refine the final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,056Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs project Tokyo's overnight low on August 12 near 23°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that suppress radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the 23.7°C August climatological normal, reinforced by the urban heat-island effect that retains warmth in the dense built environment. Traders have consolidated near-certain implied probability on 23°C because current synoptic conditions and model consensus strongly support this range. Modest uncertainty persists around rainfall timing or brief clear spells that could permit 1°C additional cooling to 22°C, while outcomes below 21°C or above 24°C remain improbable without unexpected marine air intrusion or steering flow changes; evening observations will refine the final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$12,056Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs project Tokyo's overnight low on August 12 near 23°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that suppress radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the 23.7°C August climatological normal, reinforced by the urban heat-island effect that retains warmth in the dense built environment. Traders have consolidated near-certain implied probability on 23°C because current synoptic conditions and model consensus strongly support this range. Modest uncertainty persists around rainfall timing or brief clear spells that could permit 1°C additional cooling to 22°C, while outcomes below 21°C or above 24°C remain improbable without unexpected marine air intrusion or steering flow changes; evening observations will refine the final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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