Recent Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble model guidance indicate Tokyo overnight lows of 22–25°C on August 16, with 23–24°C as the most probable range under typical late-summer conditions. High humidity, light winds, and scattered showers suppress radiational cooling, while the urban heat island effect maintains baseline warmth near the seasonal average minimum of ~23–24°C. The near-even market split between 23°C and 24°C reflects this tight forecast envelope and inherent ±1°C uncertainty in station measurements, with traders assigning low odds to outliers absent incoming fronts or typhoon influences. Updated short-range runs and official minimum readings will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 16?
24°C 46%
23°C 30%
22°C 10%
25°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
30%
24°C
46%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 46%
23°C 30%
22°C 10%
25°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
$232 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$138 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$79 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$99 Обс.
4%
22°C
$332 Обс.
10%
23°C
$2,314 Обс.
30%
24°C
$1,417 Обс.
46%
25°C
$229 Обс.
4%
26°C
$109 Обс.
2%
27°C
$122 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$170 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble model guidance indicate Tokyo overnight lows of 22–25°C on August 16, with 23–24°C as the most probable range under typical late-summer conditions. High humidity, light winds, and scattered showers suppress radiational cooling, while the urban heat island effect maintains baseline warmth near the seasonal average minimum of ~23–24°C. The near-even market split between 23°C and 24°C reflects this tight forecast envelope and inherent ±1°C uncertainty in station measurements, with traders assigning low odds to outliers absent incoming fronts or typhoon influences. Updated short-range runs and official minimum readings will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,130Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble model guidance indicate Tokyo overnight lows of 22–25°C on August 16, with 23–24°C as the most probable range under typical late-summer conditions. High humidity, light winds, and scattered showers suppress radiational cooling, while the urban heat island effect maintains baseline warmth near the seasonal average minimum of ~23–24°C. The near-even market split between 23°C and 24°C reflects this tight forecast envelope and inherent ±1°C uncertainty in station measurements, with traders assigning low odds to outliers absent incoming fronts or typhoon influences. Updated short-range runs and official minimum readings will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,130Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble model guidance indicate Tokyo overnight lows of 22–25°C on August 16, with 23–24°C as the most probable range under typical late-summer conditions. High humidity, light winds, and scattered showers suppress radiational cooling, while the urban heat island effect maintains baseline warmth near the seasonal average minimum of ~23–24°C. The near-even market split between 23°C and 24°C reflects this tight forecast envelope and inherent ±1°C uncertainty in station measurements, with traders assigning low odds to outliers absent incoming fronts or typhoon influences. Updated short-range runs and official minimum readings will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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