Recent forecasts from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather indicate Tokyo overnight lows near 23–24°C for August 15, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at those thresholds and reflecting typical late-summer patterns moderated by urban heat retention. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-term model runs show no strong cooling influences such as typhoon passage or enhanced cloud cover that would push minima below 22°C. Historical climatology places average August minimums around 24°C, with trader consensus incorporating this baseline alongside current guidance on humidity and wind patterns that limit radiative cooling. Updated model consensus and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 15?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 15?
24°C 42%
23°C 24%
25°C 23%
27°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
19°C or below
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
24%
24°C
42%
25°C
23%
26°C
8%
27°C
8%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 42%
23°C 24%
25°C 23%
27°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
19°C or below
$12 Обс.
4%
20°C
$12 Обс.
4%
21°C
$11 Обс.
3%
22°C
$0 Обс.
5%
23°C
$40 Обс.
24%
24°C
$41 Обс.
42%
25°C
$0 Обс.
23%
26°C
$0 Обс.
8%
27°C
$23 Обс.
8%
28°C
$12 Обс.
1%
29°C or higher
$12 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather indicate Tokyo overnight lows near 23–24°C for August 15, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at those thresholds and reflecting typical late-summer patterns moderated by urban heat retention. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-term model runs show no strong cooling influences such as typhoon passage or enhanced cloud cover that would push minima below 22°C. Historical climatology places average August minimums around 24°C, with trader consensus incorporating this baseline alongside current guidance on humidity and wind patterns that limit radiative cooling. Updated model consensus and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$164Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather indicate Tokyo overnight lows near 23–24°C for August 15, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at those thresholds and reflecting typical late-summer patterns moderated by urban heat retention. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-term model runs show no strong cooling influences such as typhoon passage or enhanced cloud cover that would push minima below 22°C. Historical climatology places average August minimums around 24°C, with trader consensus incorporating this baseline alongside current guidance on humidity and wind patterns that limit radiative cooling. Updated model consensus and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$164Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather indicate Tokyo overnight lows near 23–24°C for August 15, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at those thresholds and reflecting typical late-summer patterns moderated by urban heat retention. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-term model runs show no strong cooling influences such as typhoon passage or enhanced cloud cover that would push minima below 22°C. Historical climatology places average August minimums around 24°C, with trader consensus incorporating this baseline alongside current guidance on humidity and wind patterns that limit radiative cooling. Updated model consensus and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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