**Trader sentiment for Wellington's August 13 maximum temperature centers on near-average winter conditions typical for the region.** Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate temperatures most likely to be near average across the Wellington area, with historical August highs averaging around 12–13°C. Short-range model guidance and agency forecasts show daytime maxima clustering near 14–15°C under prevailing northerly or variable flows, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C at 52.5% and 14°C at 29.5%. Wellington's exposure to Cook Strait winds and frequent frontal passages adds day-to-day variability, yet no strong warm advection or blocking high is currently indicated to push readings toward 16°C or higher. Updated model runs and official MetService briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on August 13?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 13?
15°C 52%
14°C 30%
16°C 18%
13°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
30%
15°C
52%
16°C
18%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 52%
14°C 30%
16°C 18%
13°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
9°C or below
$429 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$579 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$368 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$694 Обс.
1%
13°C
$574 Обс.
3%
14°C
$1,402 Обс.
30%
15°C
$1,218 Обс.
52%
16°C
$1,998 Обс.
18%
17°C
$459 Обс.
2%
18°C
$362 Обс.
<1%
19°C or higher
$609 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wellington's August 13 maximum temperature centers on near-average winter conditions typical for the region.** Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate temperatures most likely to be near average across the Wellington area, with historical August highs averaging around 12–13°C. Short-range model guidance and agency forecasts show daytime maxima clustering near 14–15°C under prevailing northerly or variable flows, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C at 52.5% and 14°C at 29.5%. Wellington's exposure to Cook Strait winds and frequent frontal passages adds day-to-day variability, yet no strong warm advection or blocking high is currently indicated to push readings toward 16°C or higher. Updated model runs and official MetService briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,691Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wellington's August 13 maximum temperature centers on near-average winter conditions typical for the region.** Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate temperatures most likely to be near average across the Wellington area, with historical August highs averaging around 12–13°C. Short-range model guidance and agency forecasts show daytime maxima clustering near 14–15°C under prevailing northerly or variable flows, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C at 52.5% and 14°C at 29.5%. Wellington's exposure to Cook Strait winds and frequent frontal passages adds day-to-day variability, yet no strong warm advection or blocking high is currently indicated to push readings toward 16°C or higher. Updated model runs and official MetService briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,691Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Wellington's August 13 maximum temperature centers on near-average winter conditions typical for the region.** Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate temperatures most likely to be near average across the Wellington area, with historical August highs averaging around 12–13°C. Short-range model guidance and agency forecasts show daytime maxima clustering near 14–15°C under prevailing northerly or variable flows, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C at 52.5% and 14°C at 29.5%. Wellington's exposure to Cook Strait winds and frequent frontal passages adds day-to-day variability, yet no strong warm advection or blocking high is currently indicated to push readings toward 16°C or higher. Updated model runs and official MetService briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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