Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Istanbul under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light northerly flow for August 13, supporting afternoon maxima clustered around 27–28 °C. This meteorological setup favors modest diurnal warming without significant advection of warmer air masses or cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Model consensus aligns with historical August climatology for the region, where daily highs typically average near 28 °C, though individual runs show minor spread that accounts for the market-implied probabilities of 50.5% on 27 °C and 39.5% on 28 °C. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international centers will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 13?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 13?
27°C 51%
28°C 40%
26°C 5%
29°C 5%
НОВЕ
$11,240 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,240 Обс.
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
51%
28°C
40%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 40%
26°C 5%
29°C 5%
НОВЕ
$11,240 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,240 Обс.
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
$435 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$548 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$701 Обс.
1%
26°C
$938 Обс.
5%
27°C
$3,204 Обс.
51%
28°C
$1,859 Обс.
40%
29°C
$718 Обс.
5%
30°C
$939 Обс.
2%
31°C
$536 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$1,095 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$267 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Istanbul under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light northerly flow for August 13, supporting afternoon maxima clustered around 27–28 °C. This meteorological setup favors modest diurnal warming without significant advection of warmer air masses or cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Model consensus aligns with historical August climatology for the region, where daily highs typically average near 28 °C, though individual runs show minor spread that accounts for the market-implied probabilities of 50.5% on 27 °C and 39.5% on 28 °C. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international centers will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,240Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Istanbul under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light northerly flow for August 13, supporting afternoon maxima clustered around 27–28 °C. This meteorological setup favors modest diurnal warming without significant advection of warmer air masses or cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Model consensus aligns with historical August climatology for the region, where daily highs typically average near 28 °C, though individual runs show minor spread that accounts for the market-implied probabilities of 50.5% on 27 °C and 39.5% on 28 °C. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international centers will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$11,240Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Istanbul under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light northerly flow for August 13, supporting afternoon maxima clustered around 27–28 °C. This meteorological setup favors modest diurnal warming without significant advection of warmer air masses or cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Model consensus aligns with historical August climatology for the region, where daily highs typically average near 28 °C, though individual runs show minor spread that accounts for the market-implied probabilities of 50.5% on 27 °C and 39.5% on 28 °C. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international centers will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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