Recent South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to fine, partly cloudy conditions over Cape Town on August 14 following the recent cold front, with light to moderate south-easterly winds and limited moisture supporting daytime maxima near the historical August average of 18 °C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 18–20 °C because subtle differences in high-pressure ridging strength, local sea-breeze timing, and any residual cloud can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical analogs show similar post-frontal setups frequently produce 17–19 °C highs, while clearer, drier air masses occasionally allow 20–21 °C. Updated SAWS briefings and next model cycles will refine the precise threshold ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 14?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 14?
19°C 32%
18°C 26%
20°C 23%
17°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C
12%
17°C
19%
18°C
26%
19°C
32%
20°C
23%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 32%
18°C 26%
20°C 23%
17°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
13°C or below
$12 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$19 Обс.
2%
15°C
$27 Обс.
1%
16°C
$0 Обс.
12%
17°C
$19 Обс.
19%
18°C
$15 Обс.
26%
19°C
$71 Обс.
32%
20°C
$44 Обс.
23%
21°C
$75 Обс.
5%
22°C
$35 Обс.
5%
23°C or higher
$12 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to fine, partly cloudy conditions over Cape Town on August 14 following the recent cold front, with light to moderate south-easterly winds and limited moisture supporting daytime maxima near the historical August average of 18 °C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 18–20 °C because subtle differences in high-pressure ridging strength, local sea-breeze timing, and any residual cloud can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical analogs show similar post-frontal setups frequently produce 17–19 °C highs, while clearer, drier air masses occasionally allow 20–21 °C. Updated SAWS briefings and next model cycles will refine the precise threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$330Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to fine, partly cloudy conditions over Cape Town on August 14 following the recent cold front, with light to moderate south-easterly winds and limited moisture supporting daytime maxima near the historical August average of 18 °C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 18–20 °C because subtle differences in high-pressure ridging strength, local sea-breeze timing, and any residual cloud can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical analogs show similar post-frontal setups frequently produce 17–19 °C highs, while clearer, drier air masses occasionally allow 20–21 °C. Updated SAWS briefings and next model cycles will refine the precise threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$330Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to fine, partly cloudy conditions over Cape Town on August 14 following the recent cold front, with light to moderate south-easterly winds and limited moisture supporting daytime maxima near the historical August average of 18 °C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 18–20 °C because subtle differences in high-pressure ridging strength, local sea-breeze timing, and any residual cloud can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical analogs show similar post-frontal setups frequently produce 17–19 °C highs, while clearer, drier air masses occasionally allow 20–21 °C. Updated SAWS briefings and next model cycles will refine the precise threshold ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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