Recent heatwave conditions across northern Italy, with official red alerts and regional highs reaching 37–40°C, position Milan’s August 14 maximum near the upper end of seasonal norms. Short-range forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC currently converge on 35–36°C under sunny skies and light winds, though some guidance shows potential for 34°C if modest cooling arrives from the Alps. Trader consensus reflected in the 44% and 26.5% implied probabilities for 34°C and 35°C aligns with this model spread and the historical rarity of sustained 38°C+ readings in the Po Valley during mid-August. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine land-sea breeze and subsidence effects that determine whether the peak exceeds 36°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on August 14?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 14?
34°C 44%
35°C 27%
36°C 11%
33°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
11%
34°C
44%
35°C
27%
36°C
11%
37°C
5%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 44%
35°C 27%
36°C 11%
33°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
29°C or below
$148 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$37 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$125 Обс.
1%
32°C
$8 Обс.
6%
33°C
$67 Обс.
11%
34°C
$214 Обс.
44%
35°C
$65 Обс.
27%
36°C
$90 Обс.
11%
37°C
$28 Обс.
5%
38°C
$15 Обс.
1%
39°C or higher
$66 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heatwave conditions across northern Italy, with official red alerts and regional highs reaching 37–40°C, position Milan’s August 14 maximum near the upper end of seasonal norms. Short-range forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC currently converge on 35–36°C under sunny skies and light winds, though some guidance shows potential for 34°C if modest cooling arrives from the Alps. Trader consensus reflected in the 44% and 26.5% implied probabilities for 34°C and 35°C aligns with this model spread and the historical rarity of sustained 38°C+ readings in the Po Valley during mid-August. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine land-sea breeze and subsidence effects that determine whether the peak exceeds 36°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$863Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heatwave conditions across northern Italy, with official red alerts and regional highs reaching 37–40°C, position Milan’s August 14 maximum near the upper end of seasonal norms. Short-range forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC currently converge on 35–36°C under sunny skies and light winds, though some guidance shows potential for 34°C if modest cooling arrives from the Alps. Trader consensus reflected in the 44% and 26.5% implied probabilities for 34°C and 35°C aligns with this model spread and the historical rarity of sustained 38°C+ readings in the Po Valley during mid-August. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine land-sea breeze and subsidence effects that determine whether the peak exceeds 36°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$863Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heatwave conditions across northern Italy, with official red alerts and regional highs reaching 37–40°C, position Milan’s August 14 maximum near the upper end of seasonal norms. Short-range forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC currently converge on 35–36°C under sunny skies and light winds, though some guidance shows potential for 34°C if modest cooling arrives from the Alps. Trader consensus reflected in the 44% and 26.5% implied probabilities for 34°C and 35°C aligns with this model spread and the historical rarity of sustained 38°C+ readings in the Po Valley during mid-August. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine land-sea breeze and subsidence effects that determine whether the peak exceeds 36°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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