Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City points to a highest temperature on August 12 in the mid-to-upper 80s, driving the strong market weighting toward 86–89°F. Warmer-than-average monthly conditions from the Climate Prediction Center, combined with recent highs near 85–90°F and light west-to-northwest flow, support this range, though scattered showers or increased cloud cover could cap the peak. Official forecasts show limited model spread for the date, with resolution hinging on the precise Central Park maximum amid typical August humidity and sea-breeze influences. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the 24-hour window remain key variables for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on August 12?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 12?
86-87°F 44%
88-89°F 32%
84-85°F 20%
90-91°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
44%
88-89°F
32%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 44%
88-89°F 32%
84-85°F 20%
90-91°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
79°F or below
$162 Обс.
1%
80-81°F
$19 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$62 Обс.
3%
84-85°F
$720 Обс.
20%
86-87°F
$206 Обс.
44%
88-89°F
$530 Обс.
32%
90-91°F
$236 Обс.
5%
92-93°F
$124 Обс.
2%
94-95°F
$161 Обс.
<1%
96-97°F
$109 Обс.
<1%
98°F or higher
$163 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City points to a highest temperature on August 12 in the mid-to-upper 80s, driving the strong market weighting toward 86–89°F. Warmer-than-average monthly conditions from the Climate Prediction Center, combined with recent highs near 85–90°F and light west-to-northwest flow, support this range, though scattered showers or increased cloud cover could cap the peak. Official forecasts show limited model spread for the date, with resolution hinging on the precise Central Park maximum amid typical August humidity and sea-breeze influences. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the 24-hour window remain key variables for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,494Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City points to a highest temperature on August 12 in the mid-to-upper 80s, driving the strong market weighting toward 86–89°F. Warmer-than-average monthly conditions from the Climate Prediction Center, combined with recent highs near 85–90°F and light west-to-northwest flow, support this range, though scattered showers or increased cloud cover could cap the peak. Official forecasts show limited model spread for the date, with resolution hinging on the precise Central Park maximum amid typical August humidity and sea-breeze influences. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the 24-hour window remain key variables for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,494Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City points to a highest temperature on August 12 in the mid-to-upper 80s, driving the strong market weighting toward 86–89°F. Warmer-than-average monthly conditions from the Climate Prediction Center, combined with recent highs near 85–90°F and light west-to-northwest flow, support this range, though scattered showers or increased cloud cover could cap the peak. Official forecasts show limited model spread for the date, with resolution hinging on the precise Central Park maximum amid typical August humidity and sea-breeze influences. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the 24-hour window remain key variables for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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