**Forecast models from AEMET and international centers indicate Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 13 will most likely reach 38–40 °C under a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge.** Clear skies and light northeasterly winds allow intense daytime heating across the urban heat island and surrounding plateau, while low humidity limits evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 39 °C (55.5 % implied) and 40 °C (31.5 %). Recent runs have remained stable with no incoming Atlantic front or increased cloud cover to moderate temperatures, keeping higher or lower outcomes at single-digit probabilities. Final readings from Retiro or Barajas stations will resolve the market once official daily maxima are confirmed.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on August 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 13?
39°C 57%
40°C 32%
38°C 6%
41°C 5%
НОВЕ
$12,309 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,309 Обс.
Aug 13, 2026
35°C or below
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
2%
38°C
6%
39°C
57%
40°C
32%
41°C
5%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
39°C 57%
40°C 32%
38°C 6%
41°C 5%
НОВЕ
$12,309 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,309 Обс.
Aug 13, 2026
35°C or below
$811 Обс.
1%
36°C
$251 Обс.
1%
37°C
$360 Обс.
2%
38°C
$789 Обс.
6%
39°C
$1,822 Обс.
57%
40°C
$6,840 Обс.
32%
41°C
$526 Обс.
5%
42°C
$265 Обс.
1%
43°C
$166 Обс.
1%
44°C
$360 Обс.
<1%
45°C or higher
$117 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from AEMET and international centers indicate Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 13 will most likely reach 38–40 °C under a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge.** Clear skies and light northeasterly winds allow intense daytime heating across the urban heat island and surrounding plateau, while low humidity limits evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 39 °C (55.5 % implied) and 40 °C (31.5 %). Recent runs have remained stable with no incoming Atlantic front or increased cloud cover to moderate temperatures, keeping higher or lower outcomes at single-digit probabilities. Final readings from Retiro or Barajas stations will resolve the market once official daily maxima are confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,309Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from AEMET and international centers indicate Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 13 will most likely reach 38–40 °C under a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge.** Clear skies and light northeasterly winds allow intense daytime heating across the urban heat island and surrounding plateau, while low humidity limits evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 39 °C (55.5 % implied) and 40 °C (31.5 %). Recent runs have remained stable with no incoming Atlantic front or increased cloud cover to moderate temperatures, keeping higher or lower outcomes at single-digit probabilities. Final readings from Retiro or Barajas stations will resolve the market once official daily maxima are confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$12,309Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from AEMET and international centers indicate Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 13 will most likely reach 38–40 °C under a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge.** Clear skies and light northeasterly winds allow intense daytime heating across the urban heat island and surrounding plateau, while low humidity limits evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 39 °C (55.5 % implied) and 40 °C (31.5 %). Recent runs have remained stable with no incoming Atlantic front or increased cloud cover to moderate temperatures, keeping higher or lower outcomes at single-digit probabilities. Final readings from Retiro or Barajas stations will resolve the market once official daily maxima are confirmed.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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