Recent forecasts for Houston on August 13 point to a high near the long-term August average of 95°F, with models showing a strengthening heat dome favoring upper 90s under mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds. This setup explains why the 94-95°F and 96-97°F bins together exceed 75% implied probability. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms, typical for the region, introduce modest uncertainty by potentially limiting peak heating, while historical data show rare excursions above 99°F this early in the month without stronger subsidence. Updated National Weather Service and ensemble guidance expected tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on August 13?
94-95°F 46%
96-97°F 31%
92-93°F 16%
98-99°F 7%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
16%
94-95°F
46%
96-97°F
31%
98-99°F
7%
100-101°F
3%
102°F or higher
1%
94-95°F 46%
96-97°F 31%
92-93°F 16%
98-99°F 7%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
16%
94-95°F
46%
96-97°F
31%
98-99°F
7%
100-101°F
3%
102°F or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Houston on August 13 point to a high near the long-term August average of 95°F, with models showing a strengthening heat dome favoring upper 90s under mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds. This setup explains why the 94-95°F and 96-97°F bins together exceed 75% implied probability. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms, typical for the region, introduce modest uncertainty by potentially limiting peak heating, while historical data show rare excursions above 99°F this early in the month without stronger subsidence. Updated National Weather Service and ensemble guidance expected tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання