Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show Houston under typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with strong surface heating offset by Gulf moisture and a developing sea breeze that could cap afternoon temperatures near 95°F. Scattered thunderstorms possible midday may limit peak insolation and keep readings in the mid-90s, while clearer periods or delayed convection could allow brief pushes toward 97°F. These variables produce nearly even market-implied probabilities for the 94–95°F and 96–97°F bins, reflecting the narrow margin between normal seasonal maxima and modest exceedances. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will clarify steering flow and cloud trends ahead of the daily high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on August 12?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 12?
94-95°F 45%
96-97°F 39%
92-93°F 13%
98-99°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
13%
94-95°F
45%
96-97°F
39%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
2%
102°F or higher
1%
94-95°F 45%
96-97°F 39%
92-93°F 13%
98-99°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
83°F or below
$20 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$10 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$10 Обс.
1%
88-89°F
$27 Обс.
2%
90-91°F
$47 Обс.
5%
92-93°F
$22 Обс.
13%
94-95°F
$73 Обс.
45%
96-97°F
$234 Обс.
39%
98-99°F
$146 Обс.
5%
100-101°F
$150 Обс.
2%
102°F or higher
$11 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show Houston under typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with strong surface heating offset by Gulf moisture and a developing sea breeze that could cap afternoon temperatures near 95°F. Scattered thunderstorms possible midday may limit peak insolation and keep readings in the mid-90s, while clearer periods or delayed convection could allow brief pushes toward 97°F. These variables produce nearly even market-implied probabilities for the 94–95°F and 96–97°F bins, reflecting the narrow margin between normal seasonal maxima and modest exceedances. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will clarify steering flow and cloud trends ahead of the daily high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$750Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show Houston under typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with strong surface heating offset by Gulf moisture and a developing sea breeze that could cap afternoon temperatures near 95°F. Scattered thunderstorms possible midday may limit peak insolation and keep readings in the mid-90s, while clearer periods or delayed convection could allow brief pushes toward 97°F. These variables produce nearly even market-implied probabilities for the 94–95°F and 96–97°F bins, reflecting the narrow margin between normal seasonal maxima and modest exceedances. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will clarify steering flow and cloud trends ahead of the daily high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$750Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show Houston under typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with strong surface heating offset by Gulf moisture and a developing sea breeze that could cap afternoon temperatures near 95°F. Scattered thunderstorms possible midday may limit peak insolation and keep readings in the mid-90s, while clearer periods or delayed convection could allow brief pushes toward 97°F. These variables produce nearly even market-implied probabilities for the 94–95°F and 96–97°F bins, reflecting the narrow margin between normal seasonal maxima and modest exceedances. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will clarify steering flow and cloud trends ahead of the daily high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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