Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance positions 35–36°C as the leading outcomes for London’s August 13 maximum, reflecting strong high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light winds that favor intense daytime heating. Official short-range forecasts cluster in the mid-30s, with minor spread from cloud timing and urban heat-island effects creating the tight 45.5% and 34.5% implied probabilities on those bins. This heat spike occurs amid a broader warmer-than-average summer pattern already featuring multiple 30°C+ days. Traders are closely monitoring the final model runs and Met Office briefing before resolution against the day’s verified peak reading.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on August 13?
36°C 42%
35°C 38%
34°C 10%
37°C 9%
$14,788 Обс.
$14,788 Обс.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
10%
35°C
38%
36°C
42%
37°C
9%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 42%
35°C 38%
34°C 10%
37°C 9%
$14,788 Обс.
$14,788 Обс.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
10%
35°C
38%
36°C
42%
37°C
9%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance positions 35–36°C as the leading outcomes for London’s August 13 maximum, reflecting strong high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light winds that favor intense daytime heating. Official short-range forecasts cluster in the mid-30s, with minor spread from cloud timing and urban heat-island effects creating the tight 45.5% and 34.5% implied probabilities on those bins. This heat spike occurs amid a broader warmer-than-average summer pattern already featuring multiple 30°C+ days. Traders are closely monitoring the final model runs and Met Office briefing before resolution against the day’s verified peak reading.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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