Recent Met Office guidance highlights a persistent high-pressure system and warm air mass driving London's fifth summer heatwave, with official forecasts for the overnight minimum into August 13 centering on 20–21°C amid clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Urban heat-island effects in central London further suppress the daily low relative to rural sites, while model runs show only modest spread from subtle variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing. These conditions create tight clustering around 19–20°C, with traders weighting the latest ensemble guidance and historical analogs for comparable August nights when daytime maxima exceed 34°C. Upcoming Met Office and ECMWF updates before midnight local time will likely resolve the narrow gap between the two leading outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 13?
Lowest temperature in London on August 13?
19°C 38%
20°C 33%
18°C 16%
17°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
16%
19°C
38%
20°C
33%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 38%
20°C 33%
18°C 16%
17°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
14°C or below
$24 Обс.
1%
15°C
$36 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$58 Обс.
2%
17°C
$218 Обс.
7%
18°C
$311 Обс.
16%
19°C
$365 Обс.
38%
20°C
$1,485 Обс.
33%
21°C
$210 Обс.
4%
22°C
$118 Обс.
1%
23°C
$140 Обс.
<1%
24°C or higher
$36 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance highlights a persistent high-pressure system and warm air mass driving London's fifth summer heatwave, with official forecasts for the overnight minimum into August 13 centering on 20–21°C amid clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Urban heat-island effects in central London further suppress the daily low relative to rural sites, while model runs show only modest spread from subtle variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing. These conditions create tight clustering around 19–20°C, with traders weighting the latest ensemble guidance and historical analogs for comparable August nights when daytime maxima exceed 34°C. Upcoming Met Office and ECMWF updates before midnight local time will likely resolve the narrow gap between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,000Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance highlights a persistent high-pressure system and warm air mass driving London's fifth summer heatwave, with official forecasts for the overnight minimum into August 13 centering on 20–21°C amid clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Urban heat-island effects in central London further suppress the daily low relative to rural sites, while model runs show only modest spread from subtle variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing. These conditions create tight clustering around 19–20°C, with traders weighting the latest ensemble guidance and historical analogs for comparable August nights when daytime maxima exceed 34°C. Upcoming Met Office and ECMWF updates before midnight local time will likely resolve the narrow gap between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,000Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance highlights a persistent high-pressure system and warm air mass driving London's fifth summer heatwave, with official forecasts for the overnight minimum into August 13 centering on 20–21°C amid clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Urban heat-island effects in central London further suppress the daily low relative to rural sites, while model runs show only modest spread from subtle variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing. These conditions create tight clustering around 19–20°C, with traders weighting the latest ensemble guidance and historical analogs for comparable August nights when daytime maxima exceed 34°C. Upcoming Met Office and ECMWF updates before midnight local time will likely resolve the narrow gap between the two leading outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання