Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate an overnight low in New York City near 72–75°F on August 13, driven by a warm, humid airmass with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with the broader August pattern of above-average temperatures, where typical Central Park lows hover around 70°F. Trader consensus clusters tightly on the 72–75°F bins because model runs show only modest variations in minimum timing and urban heat retention, with any earlier clearing or dew-point shifts potentially tipping the exact reading lower. Historical data place the date’s record low at 55°F, underscoring how far current conditions sit above climatological extremes. Updated observations through the night will refine the final minimum before market resolution.