Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts point to a high of 69–71°F for San Francisco on August 12, aligning with the market’s heaviest concentration of probability on the 68–73°F bins. Persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the Pacific maintain coastal cooling through the day, limiting warming despite clearer skies inland. This pattern reflects the city’s typical August climatology near 69°F, reinforced by below-normal temperatures and a cooling trend noted through mid-week. Model guidance shows limited disagreement on the timing of any afternoon clearing, keeping upside potential for 72–73°F modest while making sub-68°F outcomes unlikely absent unexpected fog persistence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 12?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 12?
70-71°F 43%
68-69°F 27%
72-73°F 19%
66-67°F 6%
НОВЕ
$16,713 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,713 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
43%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 43%
68-69°F 27%
72-73°F 19%
66-67°F 6%
НОВЕ
$16,713 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,713 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
63°F or below
$397 Обс.
1%
64-65°F
$1,256 Обс.
1%
66-67°F
$1,040 Обс.
6%
68-69°F
$2,897 Обс.
27%
70-71°F
$3,963 Обс.
43%
72-73°F
$1,205 Обс.
19%
74-75°F
$1,201 Обс.
4%
76-77°F
$2,050 Обс.
1%
78-79°F
$1,937 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$381 Обс.
<1%
82°F or higher
$386 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts point to a high of 69–71°F for San Francisco on August 12, aligning with the market’s heaviest concentration of probability on the 68–73°F bins. Persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the Pacific maintain coastal cooling through the day, limiting warming despite clearer skies inland. This pattern reflects the city’s typical August climatology near 69°F, reinforced by below-normal temperatures and a cooling trend noted through mid-week. Model guidance shows limited disagreement on the timing of any afternoon clearing, keeping upside potential for 72–73°F modest while making sub-68°F outcomes unlikely absent unexpected fog persistence.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$16,713Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts point to a high of 69–71°F for San Francisco on August 12, aligning with the market’s heaviest concentration of probability on the 68–73°F bins. Persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the Pacific maintain coastal cooling through the day, limiting warming despite clearer skies inland. This pattern reflects the city’s typical August climatology near 69°F, reinforced by below-normal temperatures and a cooling trend noted through mid-week. Model guidance shows limited disagreement on the timing of any afternoon clearing, keeping upside potential for 72–73°F modest while making sub-68°F outcomes unlikely absent unexpected fog persistence.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$16,713Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts point to a high of 69–71°F for San Francisco on August 12, aligning with the market’s heaviest concentration of probability on the 68–73°F bins. Persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the Pacific maintain coastal cooling through the day, limiting warming despite clearer skies inland. This pattern reflects the city’s typical August climatology near 69°F, reinforced by below-normal temperatures and a cooling trend noted through mid-week. Model guidance shows limited disagreement on the timing of any afternoon clearing, keeping upside potential for 72–73°F modest while making sub-68°F outcomes unlikely absent unexpected fog persistence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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