Latest forecast guidance from Environment Canada and model consensus points to a Toronto high of 26–27°C on August 12 under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow, supporting the tight market clustering around these outcomes. Partial cloud cover reduces solar insolation and caps afternoon heating compared with clear conditions, while any showers introduce localized evaporative cooling. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence and urban heat island effects further narrow the range, with model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture creating the modest uncertainty reflected in the 25°C and 28°C probabilities. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine these variables before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on August 12?
26°C 33%
27°C 27%
25°C 21%
28°C 13%
$33,794 Обс.
$33,794 Обс.
24°C or below
6%
25°C
21%
26°C
33%
27°C
27%
28°C
13%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
26°C 33%
27°C 27%
25°C 21%
28°C 13%
$33,794 Обс.
$33,794 Обс.
24°C or below
6%
25°C
21%
26°C
33%
27°C
27%
28°C
13%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from Environment Canada and model consensus points to a Toronto high of 26–27°C on August 12 under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow, supporting the tight market clustering around these outcomes. Partial cloud cover reduces solar insolation and caps afternoon heating compared with clear conditions, while any showers introduce localized evaporative cooling. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence and urban heat island effects further narrow the range, with model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture creating the modest uncertainty reflected in the 25°C and 28°C probabilities. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine these variables before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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