Recent INMET forecasts for São Paulo on August 13 project a maximum of 32°C under clear skies, well above the typical August average of 23–25°C, driving trader focus on the 29–31°C range. Warmer-than-normal conditions this month stem from broader patterns of above-average temperatures across Brazil, with reduced cloud cover and potential warm air advection boosting daytime highs. Official measurements will determine resolution, and model consensus plus historical variability around forecasts explain the heavy weighting toward 30°C at 53.5% implied probability, with 29°C and 31°C capturing residual uncertainty in the final observed peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 13?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 13?
30°C 53%
29°C 29%
31°C 18%
28°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
29%
30°C
53%
31°C
18%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 53%
29°C 29%
31°C 18%
28°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
$201 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$347 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$308 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$563 Обс.
1%
28°C
$2,598 Обс.
5%
29°C
$1,479 Обс.
29%
30°C
$990 Обс.
53%
31°C
$1,010 Обс.
18%
32°C
$295 Обс.
2%
33°C
$303 Обс.
1%
34°C or higher
$853 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent INMET forecasts for São Paulo on August 13 project a maximum of 32°C under clear skies, well above the typical August average of 23–25°C, driving trader focus on the 29–31°C range. Warmer-than-normal conditions this month stem from broader patterns of above-average temperatures across Brazil, with reduced cloud cover and potential warm air advection boosting daytime highs. Official measurements will determine resolution, and model consensus plus historical variability around forecasts explain the heavy weighting toward 30°C at 53.5% implied probability, with 29°C and 31°C capturing residual uncertainty in the final observed peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$8,947Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent INMET forecasts for São Paulo on August 13 project a maximum of 32°C under clear skies, well above the typical August average of 23–25°C, driving trader focus on the 29–31°C range. Warmer-than-normal conditions this month stem from broader patterns of above-average temperatures across Brazil, with reduced cloud cover and potential warm air advection boosting daytime highs. Official measurements will determine resolution, and model consensus plus historical variability around forecasts explain the heavy weighting toward 30°C at 53.5% implied probability, with 29°C and 31°C capturing residual uncertainty in the final observed peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,947Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent INMET forecasts for São Paulo on August 13 project a maximum of 32°C under clear skies, well above the typical August average of 23–25°C, driving trader focus on the 29–31°C range. Warmer-than-normal conditions this month stem from broader patterns of above-average temperatures across Brazil, with reduced cloud cover and potential warm air advection boosting daytime highs. Official measurements will determine resolution, and model consensus plus historical variability around forecasts explain the heavy weighting toward 30°C at 53.5% implied probability, with 29°C and 31°C capturing residual uncertainty in the final observed peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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