National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently position Denver’s August 12 high near 92–95 °F, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 92–93 °F (38.5 %), 90–91 °F (27 %), and 94–95 °F (26 %). Recent extreme heat—highlighted by the 102 °F record on August 3—has given way to moderating conditions as a weak front and increased moisture shift steering patterns, limiting further intensification. Typical Front Range diurnal heating combined with isolated late-day thunderstorms supports this range rather than sustained triple-digit readings, while historical August normals near 88 °F provide context for the slight above-average outlook. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Denver on August 12?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 12?
92-93°F 38%
90-91°F 28%
94-95°F 26%
96-97°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
28%
92-93°F
38%
94-95°F
26%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 38%
90-91°F 28%
94-95°F 26%
96-97°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
87°F or below
$1,321 Обс.
1%
88-89°F
$1,455 Обс.
4%
90-91°F
$1,597 Обс.
28%
92-93°F
$875 Обс.
38%
94-95°F
$1,721 Обс.
26%
96-97°F
$584 Обс.
9%
98-99°F
$538 Обс.
<1%
100-101°F
$136 Обс.
<1%
102-103°F
$214 Обс.
<1%
104-105°F
$376 Обс.
<1%
106°F or higher
$386 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently position Denver’s August 12 high near 92–95 °F, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 92–93 °F (38.5 %), 90–91 °F (27 %), and 94–95 °F (26 %). Recent extreme heat—highlighted by the 102 °F record on August 3—has given way to moderating conditions as a weak front and increased moisture shift steering patterns, limiting further intensification. Typical Front Range diurnal heating combined with isolated late-day thunderstorms supports this range rather than sustained triple-digit readings, while historical August normals near 88 °F provide context for the slight above-average outlook. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$9,204Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently position Denver’s August 12 high near 92–95 °F, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 92–93 °F (38.5 %), 90–91 °F (27 %), and 94–95 °F (26 %). Recent extreme heat—highlighted by the 102 °F record on August 3—has given way to moderating conditions as a weak front and increased moisture shift steering patterns, limiting further intensification. Typical Front Range diurnal heating combined with isolated late-day thunderstorms supports this range rather than sustained triple-digit readings, while historical August normals near 88 °F provide context for the slight above-average outlook. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,204Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently position Denver’s August 12 high near 92–95 °F, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 92–93 °F (38.5 %), 90–91 °F (27 %), and 94–95 °F (26 %). Recent extreme heat—highlighted by the 102 °F record on August 3—has given way to moderating conditions as a weak front and increased moisture shift steering patterns, limiting further intensification. Typical Front Range diurnal heating combined with isolated late-day thunderstorms supports this range rather than sustained triple-digit readings, while historical August normals near 88 °F provide context for the slight above-average outlook. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання