Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover will limit Moscow's daily maximum to the 15–17°C range on August 13, driving the closely matched market probabilities. This deviates from the seasonal climatological average near 22–24°C, reflecting a transient pattern of northerly flow and possible light precipitation that reduces insolation and suppresses afternoon warming. Model consensus remains tight on this narrow band, yet small differences in frontal timing or convective development introduce 1–2°C uncertainty, consistent with the balanced odds across the leading outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs for similar mid-August cool spells when assessing resolution risk.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
16°C 29%
17°C 26%
15°C 24%
14°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
12%
15°C
24%
16°C
29%
17°C
26%
18°C
8%
19°C
4%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
2%
16°C 29%
17°C 26%
15°C 24%
14°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
$5 Обс.
2%
13°C
$28 Обс.
4%
14°C
$34 Обс.
12%
15°C
$50 Обс.
24%
16°C
$111 Обс.
29%
17°C
$96 Обс.
26%
18°C
$269 Обс.
8%
19°C
$29 Обс.
4%
20°C
$17 Обс.
5%
21°C
$12 Обс.
5%
22°C or higher
$12 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover will limit Moscow's daily maximum to the 15–17°C range on August 13, driving the closely matched market probabilities. This deviates from the seasonal climatological average near 22–24°C, reflecting a transient pattern of northerly flow and possible light precipitation that reduces insolation and suppresses afternoon warming. Model consensus remains tight on this narrow band, yet small differences in frontal timing or convective development introduce 1–2°C uncertainty, consistent with the balanced odds across the leading outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs for similar mid-August cool spells when assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$663Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover will limit Moscow's daily maximum to the 15–17°C range on August 13, driving the closely matched market probabilities. This deviates from the seasonal climatological average near 22–24°C, reflecting a transient pattern of northerly flow and possible light precipitation that reduces insolation and suppresses afternoon warming. Model consensus remains tight on this narrow band, yet small differences in frontal timing or convective development introduce 1–2°C uncertainty, consistent with the balanced odds across the leading outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs for similar mid-August cool spells when assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$663Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover will limit Moscow's daily maximum to the 15–17°C range on August 13, driving the closely matched market probabilities. This deviates from the seasonal climatological average near 22–24°C, reflecting a transient pattern of northerly flow and possible light precipitation that reduces insolation and suppresses afternoon warming. Model consensus remains tight on this narrow band, yet small differences in frontal timing or convective development introduce 1–2°C uncertainty, consistent with the balanced odds across the leading outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs for similar mid-August cool spells when assessing resolution risk.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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