Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical weather models indicate partly cloudy conditions with isolated thundery showers over Lucknow on August 13, keeping maximum temperatures in the 34–36 °C range that dominates trader probabilities. During peak monsoon, persistent cloud cover and high humidity reduce incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from rainfall further caps daytime highs, though brief monsoon breaks can allow clearer skies and urban heat-island effects to push readings toward 36 °C. Steering winds, soil moisture levels, and model spread on convective activity create the narrow differentiation among the top three outcomes, with any strengthening low-pressure system likely to favor the lower end. Updated IMD extended-range guidance and next 48-hour model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 13?
34°C 26%
35°C 26%
36°C 24%
33°C 14%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
11%
33°C
14%
34°C
26%
35°C
26%
36°C
24%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 26%
35°C 26%
36°C 24%
33°C 14%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
11%
33°C
14%
34°C
26%
35°C
26%
36°C
24%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical weather models indicate partly cloudy conditions with isolated thundery showers over Lucknow on August 13, keeping maximum temperatures in the 34–36 °C range that dominates trader probabilities. During peak monsoon, persistent cloud cover and high humidity reduce incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from rainfall further caps daytime highs, though brief monsoon breaks can allow clearer skies and urban heat-island effects to push readings toward 36 °C. Steering winds, soil moisture levels, and model spread on convective activity create the narrow differentiation among the top three outcomes, with any strengthening low-pressure system likely to favor the lower end. Updated IMD extended-range guidance and next 48-hour model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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