Current forecast models point to a highest temperature in Paris on August 11 near 31–33°C under strengthening high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies that favor daytime heating. Recent European heatwave patterns and Météo-France guidance show elevated baseline temperatures, with ensemble runs indicating modest variability from cloud cover or subtle advection that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August maxima average 24–27°C, but 2026 conditions reflect above-normal warmth, keeping the 32°C bin as the trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability while spreading volume across adjacent outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution around these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 11?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 11?
32°C 36%
31°C 24%
33°C 23%
30°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 11, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C
18%
32°C
36%
33°C
23%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 36%
31°C 24%
33°C 23%
30°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 11, 2026
28°C or below
$67 Обс.
1%
29°C
$67 Обс.
4%
30°C
$251 Обс.
16%
31°C
$83 Обс.
18%
32°C
$140 Обс.
36%
33°C
$84 Обс.
23%
34°C
$67 Обс.
3%
35°C
$84 Обс.
1%
36°C
$27 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$74 Обс.
<1%
38°C or higher
$84 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to a highest temperature in Paris on August 11 near 31–33°C under strengthening high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies that favor daytime heating. Recent European heatwave patterns and Météo-France guidance show elevated baseline temperatures, with ensemble runs indicating modest variability from cloud cover or subtle advection that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August maxima average 24–27°C, but 2026 conditions reflect above-normal warmth, keeping the 32°C bin as the trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability while spreading volume across adjacent outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution around these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,027Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to a highest temperature in Paris on August 11 near 31–33°C under strengthening high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies that favor daytime heating. Recent European heatwave patterns and Météo-France guidance show elevated baseline temperatures, with ensemble runs indicating modest variability from cloud cover or subtle advection that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August maxima average 24–27°C, but 2026 conditions reflect above-normal warmth, keeping the 32°C bin as the trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability while spreading volume across adjacent outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution around these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,027Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models point to a highest temperature in Paris on August 11 near 31–33°C under strengthening high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies that favor daytime heating. Recent European heatwave patterns and Météo-France guidance show elevated baseline temperatures, with ensemble runs indicating modest variability from cloud cover or subtle advection that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August maxima average 24–27°C, but 2026 conditions reflect above-normal warmth, keeping the 32°C bin as the trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability while spreading volume across adjacent outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution around these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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