Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including INMET and global ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C for São Paulo on August 14 under stable Southern Hemisphere winter high-pressure conditions, with limited moisture, light winds, and mostly cloudy skies suppressing stronger warming. This aligns with climatological normals of 23–25°C and recent model consensus showing minimal deviation, positioning 25–27°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes at over 80% combined probability. Modest above-average signals across Brazil have not altered expectations for this date, keeping extremes like 29°C or higher at low odds due to the absence of atypical synoptic setups. Key resolution relies on official central station readings, with upcoming model updates likely to refine the tight range around the leading 26°C outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 14?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 14?
26°C 37%
27°C 27%
25°C 21%
24°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
21%
26°C
37%
27°C
27%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 37%
27°C 27%
25°C 21%
24°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
21°C or below
$147 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$131 Обс.
1%
23°C
$60 Обс.
2%
24°C
$160 Обс.
5%
25°C
$389 Обс.
21%
26°C
$319 Обс.
37%
27°C
$713 Обс.
27%
28°C
$410 Обс.
5%
29°C
$683 Обс.
3%
30°C
$107 Обс.
1%
31°C or higher
$184 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including INMET and global ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C for São Paulo on August 14 under stable Southern Hemisphere winter high-pressure conditions, with limited moisture, light winds, and mostly cloudy skies suppressing stronger warming. This aligns with climatological normals of 23–25°C and recent model consensus showing minimal deviation, positioning 25–27°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes at over 80% combined probability. Modest above-average signals across Brazil have not altered expectations for this date, keeping extremes like 29°C or higher at low odds due to the absence of atypical synoptic setups. Key resolution relies on official central station readings, with upcoming model updates likely to refine the tight range around the leading 26°C outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,304Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including INMET and global ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C for São Paulo on August 14 under stable Southern Hemisphere winter high-pressure conditions, with limited moisture, light winds, and mostly cloudy skies suppressing stronger warming. This aligns with climatological normals of 23–25°C and recent model consensus showing minimal deviation, positioning 25–27°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes at over 80% combined probability. Modest above-average signals across Brazil have not altered expectations for this date, keeping extremes like 29°C or higher at low odds due to the absence of atypical synoptic setups. Key resolution relies on official central station readings, with upcoming model updates likely to refine the tight range around the leading 26°C outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,304Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including INMET and global ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C for São Paulo on August 14 under stable Southern Hemisphere winter high-pressure conditions, with limited moisture, light winds, and mostly cloudy skies suppressing stronger warming. This aligns with climatological normals of 23–25°C and recent model consensus showing minimal deviation, positioning 25–27°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes at over 80% combined probability. Modest above-average signals across Brazil have not altered expectations for this date, keeping extremes like 29°C or higher at low odds due to the absence of atypical synoptic setups. Key resolution relies on official central station readings, with upcoming model updates likely to refine the tight range around the leading 26°C outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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