**Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to a cloudy day with a maximum of 29°C in Tokyo on August 13**, moderating daytime heating amid typical mid-August humidity and a 30% chance of light showers. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 28–29°C, as persistent cloud cover from regional moisture limits solar radiation and caps temperatures below seasonal normals near 31–32°C. Key variables differentiating outcomes include exact timing of any breaks in cloud, urban heat-island effects in central districts, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Clearer conditions could push readings toward 30°C, while earlier or heavier precipitation supports 27°C. Updated JMA and ensemble runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 13?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 13?
28°C 34%
29°C 23%
27°C 20%
30°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
20%
28°C
34%
29°C
23%
30°C
10%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 34%
29°C 23%
27°C 20%
30°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
$632 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$172 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$177 Обс.
1%
26°C
$273 Обс.
7%
27°C
$1,383 Обс.
20%
28°C
$1,672 Обс.
34%
29°C
$564 Обс.
23%
30°C
$417 Обс.
10%
31°C
$512 Обс.
4%
32°C
$522 Обс.
2%
33°C or higher
$1,504 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to a cloudy day with a maximum of 29°C in Tokyo on August 13**, moderating daytime heating amid typical mid-August humidity and a 30% chance of light showers. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 28–29°C, as persistent cloud cover from regional moisture limits solar radiation and caps temperatures below seasonal normals near 31–32°C. Key variables differentiating outcomes include exact timing of any breaks in cloud, urban heat-island effects in central districts, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Clearer conditions could push readings toward 30°C, while earlier or heavier precipitation supports 27°C. Updated JMA and ensemble runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,828Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to a cloudy day with a maximum of 29°C in Tokyo on August 13**, moderating daytime heating amid typical mid-August humidity and a 30% chance of light showers. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 28–29°C, as persistent cloud cover from regional moisture limits solar radiation and caps temperatures below seasonal normals near 31–32°C. Key variables differentiating outcomes include exact timing of any breaks in cloud, urban heat-island effects in central districts, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Clearer conditions could push readings toward 30°C, while earlier or heavier precipitation supports 27°C. Updated JMA and ensemble runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,828Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to a cloudy day with a maximum of 29°C in Tokyo on August 13**, moderating daytime heating amid typical mid-August humidity and a 30% chance of light showers. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 28–29°C, as persistent cloud cover from regional moisture limits solar radiation and caps temperatures below seasonal normals near 31–32°C. Key variables differentiating outcomes include exact timing of any breaks in cloud, urban heat-island effects in central districts, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Clearer conditions could push readings toward 30°C, while earlier or heavier precipitation supports 27°C. Updated JMA and ensemble runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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