Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico point to a highest temperature in Mexico City on August 14 likely falling between 24–26°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms typical of the North American monsoon season limit solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, while urban heat island effects and variable wind patterns introduce modest uncertainty. Historical August averages hover near 24°C, with convective activity often capping daily maxima below seasonal peaks. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market as atmospheric conditions evolve.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 14?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 14?
25°C 36%
26°C 27%
24°C 23%
27°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
23%
25°C
36%
26°C
27%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 36%
26°C 27%
24°C 23%
27°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
19°C or below
$108 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$44 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$448 Обс.
1%
22°C
$327 Обс.
3%
23°C
$225 Обс.
5%
24°C
$83 Обс.
23%
25°C
$125 Обс.
36%
26°C
$52 Обс.
27%
27°C
$38 Обс.
7%
28°C
$73 Обс.
1%
29°C or higher
$89 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico point to a highest temperature in Mexico City on August 14 likely falling between 24–26°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms typical of the North American monsoon season limit solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, while urban heat island effects and variable wind patterns introduce modest uncertainty. Historical August averages hover near 24°C, with convective activity often capping daily maxima below seasonal peaks. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market as atmospheric conditions evolve.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,614Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico point to a highest temperature in Mexico City on August 14 likely falling between 24–26°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms typical of the North American monsoon season limit solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, while urban heat island effects and variable wind patterns introduce modest uncertainty. Historical August averages hover near 24°C, with convective activity often capping daily maxima below seasonal peaks. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market as atmospheric conditions evolve.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,614Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico point to a highest temperature in Mexico City on August 14 likely falling between 24–26°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms typical of the North American monsoon season limit solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, while urban heat island effects and variable wind patterns introduce modest uncertainty. Historical August averages hover near 24°C, with convective activity often capping daily maxima below seasonal peaks. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market as atmospheric conditions evolve.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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