Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Austin projects a daily high near 99–101°F on August 14 under a persistent subtropical ridge promoting southerly flow, elevated humidity, and limited afternoon mixing. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology, when the seasonal peak averages 99°F and 100°F readings occur frequently without strong disturbances. Minor model spread on cloud cover and any weak frontal influences creates the close contest between the 98–99°F (42.5%) and 96–97°F (34.5%) bins, while keeping 100–101°F at just 11% implied probability. Fresh overnight observations and the next model cycle will provide key updates for traders monitoring the 100°F threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on August 14?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 14?
98-99°F 50%
96-97°F 34%
100-101°F 11%
94-95°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
34%
98-99°F
50%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
3%
106°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 50%
96-97°F 34%
100-101°F 11%
94-95°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
87°F or below
$12 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$12 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$32 Обс.
1%
92-93°F
$35 Обс.
5%
94-95°F
$28 Обс.
6%
96-97°F
$82 Обс.
34%
98-99°F
$304 Обс.
50%
100-101°F
$55 Обс.
11%
102-103°F
$23 Обс.
5%
104-105°F
$125 Обс.
3%
106°F or higher
$275 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Austin projects a daily high near 99–101°F on August 14 under a persistent subtropical ridge promoting southerly flow, elevated humidity, and limited afternoon mixing. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology, when the seasonal peak averages 99°F and 100°F readings occur frequently without strong disturbances. Minor model spread on cloud cover and any weak frontal influences creates the close contest between the 98–99°F (42.5%) and 96–97°F (34.5%) bins, while keeping 100–101°F at just 11% implied probability. Fresh overnight observations and the next model cycle will provide key updates for traders monitoring the 100°F threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$983Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Austin projects a daily high near 99–101°F on August 14 under a persistent subtropical ridge promoting southerly flow, elevated humidity, and limited afternoon mixing. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology, when the seasonal peak averages 99°F and 100°F readings occur frequently without strong disturbances. Minor model spread on cloud cover and any weak frontal influences creates the close contest between the 98–99°F (42.5%) and 96–97°F (34.5%) bins, while keeping 100–101°F at just 11% implied probability. Fresh overnight observations and the next model cycle will provide key updates for traders monitoring the 100°F threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$983Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Austin projects a daily high near 99–101°F on August 14 under a persistent subtropical ridge promoting southerly flow, elevated humidity, and limited afternoon mixing. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology, when the seasonal peak averages 99°F and 100°F readings occur frequently without strong disturbances. Minor model spread on cloud cover and any weak frontal influences creates the close contest between the 98–99°F (42.5%) and 96–97°F (34.5%) bins, while keeping 100–101°F at just 11% implied probability. Fresh overnight observations and the next model cycle will provide key updates for traders monitoring the 100°F threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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