Forecasts for Istanbul on August 16, 2026, indicate a daily maximum near 27–28°C under overcast or partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds of 15–20 mph, aligning with late-summer Mediterranean patterns where Black Sea and Bosphorus sea breezes limit daytime heating. This positions 26°C and 27°C as leading outcomes in trader consensus, reflecting ensemble model spreads around the long-term August average of 27–28°C and historical variability from cloud cover or wind shifts. Recent data show no major heat advection or clear-sky intensification, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 25–27°C band while downweighting extremes above 28°C. Updated model runs and official guidance from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these near-term uncertainties ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 16?
26°C 55%
27°C 26%
25°C 16%
28°C 4%
НОВЕ
$11,224 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,224 Обс.
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
16%
26°C
55%
27°C
26%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 55%
27°C 26%
25°C 16%
28°C 4%
НОВЕ
$11,224 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,224 Обс.
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
$657 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$804 Обс.
1%
24°C
$393 Обс.
3%
25°C
$1,502 Обс.
16%
26°C
$2,622 Обс.
55%
27°C
$3,254 Обс.
26%
28°C
$464 Обс.
4%
29°C
$209 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$548 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$570 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$202 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Istanbul on August 16, 2026, indicate a daily maximum near 27–28°C under overcast or partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds of 15–20 mph, aligning with late-summer Mediterranean patterns where Black Sea and Bosphorus sea breezes limit daytime heating. This positions 26°C and 27°C as leading outcomes in trader consensus, reflecting ensemble model spreads around the long-term August average of 27–28°C and historical variability from cloud cover or wind shifts. Recent data show no major heat advection or clear-sky intensification, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 25–27°C band while downweighting extremes above 28°C. Updated model runs and official guidance from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these near-term uncertainties ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,224Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Istanbul on August 16, 2026, indicate a daily maximum near 27–28°C under overcast or partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds of 15–20 mph, aligning with late-summer Mediterranean patterns where Black Sea and Bosphorus sea breezes limit daytime heating. This positions 26°C and 27°C as leading outcomes in trader consensus, reflecting ensemble model spreads around the long-term August average of 27–28°C and historical variability from cloud cover or wind shifts. Recent data show no major heat advection or clear-sky intensification, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 25–27°C band while downweighting extremes above 28°C. Updated model runs and official guidance from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these near-term uncertainties ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$11,224Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts for Istanbul on August 16, 2026, indicate a daily maximum near 27–28°C under overcast or partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds of 15–20 mph, aligning with late-summer Mediterranean patterns where Black Sea and Bosphorus sea breezes limit daytime heating. This positions 26°C and 27°C as leading outcomes in trader consensus, reflecting ensemble model spreads around the long-term August average of 27–28°C and historical variability from cloud cover or wind shifts. Recent data show no major heat advection or clear-sky intensification, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 25–27°C band while downweighting extremes above 28°C. Updated model runs and official guidance from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these near-term uncertainties ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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