Recent Met Office guidance points to a daytime maximum near 26°C in London on August 16 under sunny intervals and lighter winds following the breakdown of the mid-August heatwave ridge. This cooling reflects increased Atlantic airflow and reduced insolation after peaks near 34°C earlier in the week, aligning with mid-August climatology once adjusted for the transient high-pressure influence. Ensemble model spreads remain tight around 25–27°C because small differences in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects can shift the verified high by 1–2°C at official London stations. Traders therefore concentrate probability on these three bins while discounting higher outcomes given the established trend toward fresher conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on August 16?
Highest temperature in London on August 16?
26°C 30%
25°C 27%
27°C 18%
24°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
5%
24°C
14%
25°C
27%
26°C
30%
27°C
18%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 30%
25°C 27%
27°C 18%
24°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
$920 Обс.
5%
24°C
$717 Обс.
14%
25°C
$2,188 Обс.
27%
26°C
$724 Обс.
30%
27°C
$695 Обс.
18%
28°C
$406 Обс.
8%
29°C
$150 Обс.
1%
30°C
$401 Обс.
1%
31°C
$208 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$452 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$452 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a daytime maximum near 26°C in London on August 16 under sunny intervals and lighter winds following the breakdown of the mid-August heatwave ridge. This cooling reflects increased Atlantic airflow and reduced insolation after peaks near 34°C earlier in the week, aligning with mid-August climatology once adjusted for the transient high-pressure influence. Ensemble model spreads remain tight around 25–27°C because small differences in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects can shift the verified high by 1–2°C at official London stations. Traders therefore concentrate probability on these three bins while discounting higher outcomes given the established trend toward fresher conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,313Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a daytime maximum near 26°C in London on August 16 under sunny intervals and lighter winds following the breakdown of the mid-August heatwave ridge. This cooling reflects increased Atlantic airflow and reduced insolation after peaks near 34°C earlier in the week, aligning with mid-August climatology once adjusted for the transient high-pressure influence. Ensemble model spreads remain tight around 25–27°C because small differences in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects can shift the verified high by 1–2°C at official London stations. Traders therefore concentrate probability on these three bins while discounting higher outcomes given the established trend toward fresher conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,313Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to a daytime maximum near 26°C in London on August 16 under sunny intervals and lighter winds following the breakdown of the mid-August heatwave ridge. This cooling reflects increased Atlantic airflow and reduced insolation after peaks near 34°C earlier in the week, aligning with mid-August climatology once adjusted for the transient high-pressure influence. Ensemble model spreads remain tight around 25–27°C because small differences in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects can shift the verified high by 1–2°C at official London stations. Traders therefore concentrate probability on these three bins while discounting higher outcomes given the established trend toward fresher conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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