Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo indicate partly cloudy skies on August 8 with minimum temperatures near 25°C, consistent with climatological averages for early August when urban heat retention and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling. Trader consensus favoring 26–27°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty around cloud cover, wind patterns, and the urban heat island effect, which can elevate overnight lows above historical baselines by 1–2°C. Resolution hinges on official Tokyo observatory readings, with fresh forecast updates expected to refine probabilities as the date approaches.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 8?
27°C 50%
25°C 29%
28°C 9%
21°C or below 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
29%
26°C
48%
27°C
50%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 50%
25°C 29%
28°C 9%
21°C or below 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
21°C or below
$10 Обс.
4%
22°C
$10 Обс.
4%
23°C
$7 Обс.
2%
24°C
$7 Обс.
3%
25°C
$7 Обс.
29%
26°C
$14 Обс.
48%
27°C
$7 Обс.
50%
28°C
$7 Обс.
9%
29°C
$89 Обс.
2%
30°C
$10 Обс.
3%
31°C or higher
$10 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo indicate partly cloudy skies on August 8 with minimum temperatures near 25°C, consistent with climatological averages for early August when urban heat retention and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling. Trader consensus favoring 26–27°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty around cloud cover, wind patterns, and the urban heat island effect, which can elevate overnight lows above historical baselines by 1–2°C. Resolution hinges on official Tokyo observatory readings, with fresh forecast updates expected to refine probabilities as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$98Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo indicate partly cloudy skies on August 8 with minimum temperatures near 25°C, consistent with climatological averages for early August when urban heat retention and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling. Trader consensus favoring 26–27°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty around cloud cover, wind patterns, and the urban heat island effect, which can elevate overnight lows above historical baselines by 1–2°C. Resolution hinges on official Tokyo observatory readings, with fresh forecast updates expected to refine probabilities as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$98Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo indicate partly cloudy skies on August 8 with minimum temperatures near 25°C, consistent with climatological averages for early August when urban heat retention and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling. Trader consensus favoring 26–27°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty around cloud cover, wind patterns, and the urban heat island effect, which can elevate overnight lows above historical baselines by 1–2°C. Resolution hinges on official Tokyo observatory readings, with fresh forecast updates expected to refine probabilities as the date approaches.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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