Recent short-range model consensus from KNMI HARMONIE and ECMWF indicates moderating temperatures in the Netherlands following early-August heat warnings, positioning 25–27°C as the most probable maximum for Amsterdam on August 8 under northwest flow and scattered showers. These outcomes reflect typical post-heatwave stabilization rather than peak summer conditions, with ensemble spreads highlighting sensitivity to exact timing of Atlantic fronts and boundary-layer moisture. Lower probabilities for 28°C or above align with reduced subsidence and increased cloud cover expected by midweek, while sub-24°C scenarios remain outliers given current 850 hPa temperatures near climatological norms. Updated KNMI guidance and 48-hour model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine the tight clustering around these central outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 8?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 8?
26°C 31%
27°C 27%
25°C 23%
24°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
12%
25°C
23%
26°C
31%
27°C
27%
28°C
6%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 31%
27°C 27%
25°C 23%
24°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
21°C or below
$10 Обс.
2%
22°C
$43 Обс.
1%
23°C
$10 Обс.
2%
24°C
$136 Обс.
12%
25°C
$0 Обс.
23%
26°C
$0 Обс.
31%
27°C
$6 Обс.
27%
28°C
$0 Обс.
6%
29°C
$5 Обс.
5%
30°C
$18 Обс.
2%
31°C or higher
$10 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from KNMI HARMONIE and ECMWF indicates moderating temperatures in the Netherlands following early-August heat warnings, positioning 25–27°C as the most probable maximum for Amsterdam on August 8 under northwest flow and scattered showers. These outcomes reflect typical post-heatwave stabilization rather than peak summer conditions, with ensemble spreads highlighting sensitivity to exact timing of Atlantic fronts and boundary-layer moisture. Lower probabilities for 28°C or above align with reduced subsidence and increased cloud cover expected by midweek, while sub-24°C scenarios remain outliers given current 850 hPa temperatures near climatological norms. Updated KNMI guidance and 48-hour model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine the tight clustering around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$239Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from KNMI HARMONIE and ECMWF indicates moderating temperatures in the Netherlands following early-August heat warnings, positioning 25–27°C as the most probable maximum for Amsterdam on August 8 under northwest flow and scattered showers. These outcomes reflect typical post-heatwave stabilization rather than peak summer conditions, with ensemble spreads highlighting sensitivity to exact timing of Atlantic fronts and boundary-layer moisture. Lower probabilities for 28°C or above align with reduced subsidence and increased cloud cover expected by midweek, while sub-24°C scenarios remain outliers given current 850 hPa temperatures near climatological norms. Updated KNMI guidance and 48-hour model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine the tight clustering around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$239Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from KNMI HARMONIE and ECMWF indicates moderating temperatures in the Netherlands following early-August heat warnings, positioning 25–27°C as the most probable maximum for Amsterdam on August 8 under northwest flow and scattered showers. These outcomes reflect typical post-heatwave stabilization rather than peak summer conditions, with ensemble spreads highlighting sensitivity to exact timing of Atlantic fronts and boundary-layer moisture. Lower probabilities for 28°C or above align with reduced subsidence and increased cloud cover expected by midweek, while sub-24°C scenarios remain outliers given current 850 hPa temperatures near climatological norms. Updated KNMI guidance and 48-hour model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine the tight clustering around these central outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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