**Persistent heat wave conditions and official warnings are anchoring trader expectations around 34–36°C for Seoul-Incheon’s peak temperature on August 6.** Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and recent observations show daytime maxima near 35°C under clear skies, light winds, and continued subsidence from a strong high-pressure ridge, with heat-wave emergency alerts already active across the capital region. This aligns with climatological peaks for early August, when average highs reach ~30–31°C but can exceed 34°C during established warm spells. Model consensus from global and regional runs supports limited day-to-day variability through the 24-hour window, keeping 35°C the modal outcome while allowing modest upside risk if afternoon mixing or urban heat-island effects intensify. Updated KMA guidance and any late-model shifts will be the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6?
35°C 44%
34°C 25%
36°C 19%
37°C or higher 9.4%
НОВЕ
$21,523 Обс.
НОВЕ
$21,523 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
8%
34°C
25%
35°C
44%
36°C
19%
37°C or higher
9%
35°C 44%
34°C 25%
36°C 19%
37°C or higher 9.4%
НОВЕ
$21,523 Обс.
НОВЕ
$21,523 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
$664 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$450 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$596 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$508 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$3,671 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$2,161 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$3,361 Обс.
8%
34°C
$3,958 Обс.
25%
35°C
$2,819 Обс.
44%
36°C
$1,628 Обс.
19%
37°C or higher
$1,705 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent heat wave conditions and official warnings are anchoring trader expectations around 34–36°C for Seoul-Incheon’s peak temperature on August 6.** Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and recent observations show daytime maxima near 35°C under clear skies, light winds, and continued subsidence from a strong high-pressure ridge, with heat-wave emergency alerts already active across the capital region. This aligns with climatological peaks for early August, when average highs reach ~30–31°C but can exceed 34°C during established warm spells. Model consensus from global and regional runs supports limited day-to-day variability through the 24-hour window, keeping 35°C the modal outcome while allowing modest upside risk if afternoon mixing or urban heat-island effects intensify. Updated KMA guidance and any late-model shifts will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$21,523Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent heat wave conditions and official warnings are anchoring trader expectations around 34–36°C for Seoul-Incheon’s peak temperature on August 6.** Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and recent observations show daytime maxima near 35°C under clear skies, light winds, and continued subsidence from a strong high-pressure ridge, with heat-wave emergency alerts already active across the capital region. This aligns with climatological peaks for early August, when average highs reach ~30–31°C but can exceed 34°C during established warm spells. Model consensus from global and regional runs supports limited day-to-day variability through the 24-hour window, keeping 35°C the modal outcome while allowing modest upside risk if afternoon mixing or urban heat-island effects intensify. Updated KMA guidance and any late-model shifts will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$21,523Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent heat wave conditions and official warnings are anchoring trader expectations around 34–36°C for Seoul-Incheon’s peak temperature on August 6.** Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and recent observations show daytime maxima near 35°C under clear skies, light winds, and continued subsidence from a strong high-pressure ridge, with heat-wave emergency alerts already active across the capital region. This aligns with climatological peaks for early August, when average highs reach ~30–31°C but can exceed 34°C during established warm spells. Model consensus from global and regional runs supports limited day-to-day variability through the 24-hour window, keeping 35°C the modal outcome while allowing modest upside risk if afternoon mixing or urban heat-island effects intensify. Updated KMA guidance and any late-model shifts will be the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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