Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models point to a cooling trend after mid-August heat, positioning Paris maximum temperatures near 29–30°C on August 16 amid increasing Atlantic airflow, partial cloud cover, and possible afternoon showers that limit peak heating. These conditions follow earlier highs exceeding 35°C and align with climatological August averages of 24–29°C while remaining below recent heatwave baselines. Minor differences between 29°C and 30°C outcomes hinge on exact timing of any convection or boundary-layer mixing, with model runs showing small spreads that sustain tight market-implied probabilities around those levels ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 16?
30°C 39%
29°C 37%
31°C 15%
28°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
11%
29°C
37%
30°C
39%
31°C
15%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 39%
29°C 37%
31°C 15%
28°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
$63 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$142 Обс.
1%
27°C
$78 Обс.
2%
28°C
$339 Обс.
11%
29°C
$405 Обс.
37%
30°C
$372 Обс.
39%
31°C
$261 Обс.
15%
32°C
$108 Обс.
2%
33°C
$72 Обс.
1%
34°C
$47 Обс.
1%
35°C or higher
$111 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models point to a cooling trend after mid-August heat, positioning Paris maximum temperatures near 29–30°C on August 16 amid increasing Atlantic airflow, partial cloud cover, and possible afternoon showers that limit peak heating. These conditions follow earlier highs exceeding 35°C and align with climatological August averages of 24–29°C while remaining below recent heatwave baselines. Minor differences between 29°C and 30°C outcomes hinge on exact timing of any convection or boundary-layer mixing, with model runs showing small spreads that sustain tight market-implied probabilities around those levels ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,999Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models point to a cooling trend after mid-August heat, positioning Paris maximum temperatures near 29–30°C on August 16 amid increasing Atlantic airflow, partial cloud cover, and possible afternoon showers that limit peak heating. These conditions follow earlier highs exceeding 35°C and align with climatological August averages of 24–29°C while remaining below recent heatwave baselines. Minor differences between 29°C and 30°C outcomes hinge on exact timing of any convection or boundary-layer mixing, with model runs showing small spreads that sustain tight market-implied probabilities around those levels ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,999Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models point to a cooling trend after mid-August heat, positioning Paris maximum temperatures near 29–30°C on August 16 amid increasing Atlantic airflow, partial cloud cover, and possible afternoon showers that limit peak heating. These conditions follow earlier highs exceeding 35°C and align with climatological August averages of 24–29°C while remaining below recent heatwave baselines. Minor differences between 29°C and 30°C outcomes hinge on exact timing of any convection or boundary-layer mixing, with model runs showing small spreads that sustain tight market-implied probabilities around those levels ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання