KMA short-range forecasts for August 18 project a minimum of 25°C in Incheon under mostly clear morning conditions and light northerly winds, with only modest afternoon cloud cover and low precipitation chances. This aligns with the market's near-even split between 24°C and 25°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in ensemble model spreads for overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing over the Yellow Sea. Coastal sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and the absence of strong frontal systems support limited variability, while urban effects around Seoul may add slight warmth. Updated KMA guidance and higher-resolution runs expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 18?
25°C 38%
24°C 35%
26°C 18%
23°C 11%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
11%
24°C
35%
25°C
38%
26°C
18%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 38%
24°C 35%
26°C 18%
23°C 11%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
11%
24°C
35%
25°C
38%
26°C
18%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...KMA short-range forecasts for August 18 project a minimum of 25°C in Incheon under mostly clear morning conditions and light northerly winds, with only modest afternoon cloud cover and low precipitation chances. This aligns with the market's near-even split between 24°C and 25°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in ensemble model spreads for overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing over the Yellow Sea. Coastal sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and the absence of strong frontal systems support limited variability, while urban effects around Seoul may add slight warmth. Updated KMA guidance and higher-resolution runs expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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