The close split between 31°C and 32°C market-implied odds reflects Singapore's equatorial climate under the southwest monsoon, where August climatological daytime maxima average near 31°C amid high humidity and variable convective activity. Official outlooks from the NEA highlight drier conditions favoring peaks of 33–34°C early in the month, yet short-range models for August 16 show modest uncertainty from potential isolated thundery showers and cloud cover that can suppress maxima by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Urban heat-island effects and precise timing of any rain further differentiate outcomes near the 31–32°C threshold, with limited upside risk above 33°C given typical steering patterns and moisture availability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Singapore on August 16?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 16?
32°C 45%
31°C 43%
33°C 8%
30°C 6%
НОВЕ
$16,239 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,239 Обс.
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
43%
32°C
45%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 45%
31°C 43%
33°C 8%
30°C 6%
НОВЕ
$16,239 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,239 Обс.
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
$285 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$268 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$470 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$814 Обс.
1%
29°C
$1,299 Обс.
2%
30°C
$1,413 Обс.
6%
31°C
$3,176 Обс.
43%
32°C
$4,769 Обс.
45%
33°C
$2,208 Обс.
8%
34°C
$887 Обс.
1%
35°C or higher
$652 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The close split between 31°C and 32°C market-implied odds reflects Singapore's equatorial climate under the southwest monsoon, where August climatological daytime maxima average near 31°C amid high humidity and variable convective activity. Official outlooks from the NEA highlight drier conditions favoring peaks of 33–34°C early in the month, yet short-range models for August 16 show modest uncertainty from potential isolated thundery showers and cloud cover that can suppress maxima by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Urban heat-island effects and precise timing of any rain further differentiate outcomes near the 31–32°C threshold, with limited upside risk above 33°C given typical steering patterns and moisture availability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$16,239Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The close split between 31°C and 32°C market-implied odds reflects Singapore's equatorial climate under the southwest monsoon, where August climatological daytime maxima average near 31°C amid high humidity and variable convective activity. Official outlooks from the NEA highlight drier conditions favoring peaks of 33–34°C early in the month, yet short-range models for August 16 show modest uncertainty from potential isolated thundery showers and cloud cover that can suppress maxima by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Urban heat-island effects and precise timing of any rain further differentiate outcomes near the 31–32°C threshold, with limited upside risk above 33°C given typical steering patterns and moisture availability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$16,239Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The close split between 31°C and 32°C market-implied odds reflects Singapore's equatorial climate under the southwest monsoon, where August climatological daytime maxima average near 31°C amid high humidity and variable convective activity. Official outlooks from the NEA highlight drier conditions favoring peaks of 33–34°C early in the month, yet short-range models for August 16 show modest uncertainty from potential isolated thundery showers and cloud cover that can suppress maxima by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Urban heat-island effects and precise timing of any rain further differentiate outcomes near the 31–32°C threshold, with limited upside risk above 33°C given typical steering patterns and moisture availability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання