Current short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show moderate uncertainty for Busan’s August 18 maximum, with consensus clustering near 30–31°C amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure and East Asian monsoon moisture. Sea-surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula remain above the 1991–2020 baseline, supporting elevated sensible heat, while variable cloud cover and scattered showers can suppress daytime peaks by 1–2°C. Historical August highs average 29–31°C, with occasional excursions above 32°C under clear, subsiding air. Traders weigh the latest ensemble runs against potential model spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, as even modest shifts in afternoon insolation or onshore winds could separate 30°C from 31°C outcomes at official stations. Updated KMA guidance and regional model initializations expected within 24 hours will likely refine probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Busan on August 18?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 18?
31°C 36%
30°C 29%
29°C 16%
32°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
16%
30°C
29%
31°C
36%
32°C
14%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 36%
30°C 29%
29°C 16%
32°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
$131 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$17 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$18 Обс.
1%
28°C
$62 Обс.
8%
29°C
$82 Обс.
16%
30°C
$90 Обс.
29%
31°C
$77 Обс.
36%
32°C
$62 Обс.
14%
33°C
$35 Обс.
3%
34°C
$38 Обс.
1%
35°C or higher
$18 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show moderate uncertainty for Busan’s August 18 maximum, with consensus clustering near 30–31°C amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure and East Asian monsoon moisture. Sea-surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula remain above the 1991–2020 baseline, supporting elevated sensible heat, while variable cloud cover and scattered showers can suppress daytime peaks by 1–2°C. Historical August highs average 29–31°C, with occasional excursions above 32°C under clear, subsiding air. Traders weigh the latest ensemble runs against potential model spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, as even modest shifts in afternoon insolation or onshore winds could separate 30°C from 31°C outcomes at official stations. Updated KMA guidance and regional model initializations expected within 24 hours will likely refine probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$629Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show moderate uncertainty for Busan’s August 18 maximum, with consensus clustering near 30–31°C amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure and East Asian monsoon moisture. Sea-surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula remain above the 1991–2020 baseline, supporting elevated sensible heat, while variable cloud cover and scattered showers can suppress daytime peaks by 1–2°C. Historical August highs average 29–31°C, with occasional excursions above 32°C under clear, subsiding air. Traders weigh the latest ensemble runs against potential model spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, as even modest shifts in afternoon insolation or onshore winds could separate 30°C from 31°C outcomes at official stations. Updated KMA guidance and regional model initializations expected within 24 hours will likely refine probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$629Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show moderate uncertainty for Busan’s August 18 maximum, with consensus clustering near 30–31°C amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure and East Asian monsoon moisture. Sea-surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula remain above the 1991–2020 baseline, supporting elevated sensible heat, while variable cloud cover and scattered showers can suppress daytime peaks by 1–2°C. Historical August highs average 29–31°C, with occasional excursions above 32°C under clear, subsiding air. Traders weigh the latest ensemble runs against potential model spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, as even modest shifts in afternoon insolation or onshore winds could separate 30°C from 31°C outcomes at official stations. Updated KMA guidance and regional model initializations expected within 24 hours will likely refine probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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