Official forecasts from MetService and aligned international models indicate a daytime maximum near 9°C for Wellington on August 17 under southerly winds and scattered showers, with some guidance allowing brief reaches to 10°C. Persistent cool maritime air from the south, typical of mid-winter in the region, limits daytime warming while cloud cover and wind suppress peaks relative to seasonal averages around 12–13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes near-average temperatures as most probable overall, but short-term model consensus favors the lower end of that range. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with implied probabilities concentrated on 9–10°C outcomes ahead of final observational data from Kelburn station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on August 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 17?
10°C 51%
9°C 39%
8°C 6%
11°C 4%
НОВЕ
$15,281 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,281 Обс.
Aug 17, 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
2%
8°C
6%
9°C
39%
10°C
51%
11°C
4%
12°C
2%
13°C
1%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 51%
9°C 39%
8°C 6%
11°C 4%
НОВЕ
$15,281 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,281 Обс.
Aug 17, 2026
4°C or below
$110 Обс.
<1%
5°C
$106 Обс.
<1%
6°C
$994 Обс.
<1%
7°C
$1,795 Обс.
2%
8°C
$2,264 Обс.
6%
9°C
$2,880 Обс.
39%
10°C
$2,824 Обс.
51%
11°C
$1,272 Обс.
4%
12°C
$1,134 Обс.
2%
13°C
$1,593 Обс.
1%
14°C or higher
$309 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and aligned international models indicate a daytime maximum near 9°C for Wellington on August 17 under southerly winds and scattered showers, with some guidance allowing brief reaches to 10°C. Persistent cool maritime air from the south, typical of mid-winter in the region, limits daytime warming while cloud cover and wind suppress peaks relative to seasonal averages around 12–13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes near-average temperatures as most probable overall, but short-term model consensus favors the lower end of that range. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with implied probabilities concentrated on 9–10°C outcomes ahead of final observational data from Kelburn station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$15,281Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and aligned international models indicate a daytime maximum near 9°C for Wellington on August 17 under southerly winds and scattered showers, with some guidance allowing brief reaches to 10°C. Persistent cool maritime air from the south, typical of mid-winter in the region, limits daytime warming while cloud cover and wind suppress peaks relative to seasonal averages around 12–13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes near-average temperatures as most probable overall, but short-term model consensus favors the lower end of that range. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with implied probabilities concentrated on 9–10°C outcomes ahead of final observational data from Kelburn station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$15,281Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from MetService and aligned international models indicate a daytime maximum near 9°C for Wellington on August 17 under southerly winds and scattered showers, with some guidance allowing brief reaches to 10°C. Persistent cool maritime air from the south, typical of mid-winter in the region, limits daytime warming while cloud cover and wind suppress peaks relative to seasonal averages around 12–13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes near-average temperatures as most probable overall, but short-term model consensus favors the lower end of that range. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with implied probabilities concentrated on 9–10°C outcomes ahead of final observational data from Kelburn station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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