Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily minimum of approximately 28°C for August 16, 2026, under typical subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity that restricts overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where average lows hover near 27–28°C amid persistent warm, moist air masses and limited synoptic cooling from weak pressure gradients. Model consensus across regional and global guidance shows minimal deviation expected, with showers or thunderstorms unlikely to produce significant temperature drops. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability for exactly 28°C reflects this strong observational and forecast alignment, though an unseasonal surge of cooler maritime air or measurement timing discrepancies at official stations could theoretically shift the recorded minimum by 1°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?
28°C 99%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$25,858 Обс.
$25,858 Обс.
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
99%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$25,858 Обс.
$25,858 Обс.
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
$1,017 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$1,624 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$2,877 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$3,346 Обс.
1%
27°C
$2,719 Обс.
1%
28°C
$7,933 Обс.
99%
29°C
$3,114 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$1,440 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$642 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$605 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$540 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily minimum of approximately 28°C for August 16, 2026, under typical subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity that restricts overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where average lows hover near 27–28°C amid persistent warm, moist air masses and limited synoptic cooling from weak pressure gradients. Model consensus across regional and global guidance shows minimal deviation expected, with showers or thunderstorms unlikely to produce significant temperature drops. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability for exactly 28°C reflects this strong observational and forecast alignment, though an unseasonal surge of cooler maritime air or measurement timing discrepancies at official stations could theoretically shift the recorded minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$25,858Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily minimum of approximately 28°C for August 16, 2026, under typical subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity that restricts overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where average lows hover near 27–28°C amid persistent warm, moist air masses and limited synoptic cooling from weak pressure gradients. Model consensus across regional and global guidance shows minimal deviation expected, with showers or thunderstorms unlikely to produce significant temperature drops. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability for exactly 28°C reflects this strong observational and forecast alignment, though an unseasonal surge of cooler maritime air or measurement timing discrepancies at official stations could theoretically shift the recorded minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$25,858Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily minimum of approximately 28°C for August 16, 2026, under typical subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity that restricts overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where average lows hover near 27–28°C amid persistent warm, moist air masses and limited synoptic cooling from weak pressure gradients. Model consensus across regional and global guidance shows minimal deviation expected, with showers or thunderstorms unlikely to produce significant temperature drops. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability for exactly 28°C reflects this strong observational and forecast alignment, though an unseasonal surge of cooler maritime air or measurement timing discrepancies at official stations could theoretically shift the recorded minimum by 1°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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