Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office models centers on a 32–33°C maximum for Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and minimal heat advection from inland sources. These seasonal factors, consistent with historical August averages near 30–32°C, explain the market’s concentration on 33°C at 62% implied probability and 34°C at 30%, as modest differences in daytime insolation or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak across that narrow range. No recent model updates or atmospheric changes have altered the outlook, leaving lower or extreme outcomes with negligible odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 15?
33°C 69%
34°C 21%
32°C 12%
35°C <1%
$20,501 Обс.
$20,501 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
12%
33°C
69%
34°C
21%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 69%
34°C 21%
32°C 12%
35°C <1%
$20,501 Обс.
$20,501 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
$488 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$1,923 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$3,111 Обс.
12%
33°C
$6,401 Обс.
69%
34°C
$3,070 Обс.
21%
35°C
$1,493 Обс.
1%
36°C
$1,163 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$1,167 Обс.
<1%
38°C
$945 Обс.
<1%
39°C
$288 Обс.
<1%
40°C or higher
$666 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office models centers on a 32–33°C maximum for Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and minimal heat advection from inland sources. These seasonal factors, consistent with historical August averages near 30–32°C, explain the market’s concentration on 33°C at 62% implied probability and 34°C at 30%, as modest differences in daytime insolation or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak across that narrow range. No recent model updates or atmospheric changes have altered the outlook, leaving lower or extreme outcomes with negligible odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$20,501Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office models centers on a 32–33°C maximum for Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and minimal heat advection from inland sources. These seasonal factors, consistent with historical August averages near 30–32°C, explain the market’s concentration on 33°C at 62% implied probability and 34°C at 30%, as modest differences in daytime insolation or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak across that narrow range. No recent model updates or atmospheric changes have altered the outlook, leaving lower or extreme outcomes with negligible odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$20,501Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office models centers on a 32–33°C maximum for Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and minimal heat advection from inland sources. These seasonal factors, consistent with historical August averages near 30–32°C, explain the market’s concentration on 33°C at 62% implied probability and 34°C at 30%, as modest differences in daytime insolation or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak across that narrow range. No recent model updates or atmospheric changes have altered the outlook, leaving lower or extreme outcomes with negligible odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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