The southwest monsoon (habagat) continues to dominate Metro Manila, producing persistent cloudy skies, scattered rains, and thunderstorms that limit solar heating and cap daytime highs. PAGASA’s extended outlook projects a 26–33 °C range for August 20, while AccuWeather’s August guidance shows daily maxima between 28.5–32.3 °C against a monthly average near 30 °C. These conditions align with climatological norms for late-August Manila, where high humidity and frequent precipitation typically suppress peaks relative to clearer periods. Recent model consensus and the absence of strong subsidence or breaks in the monsoon flow keep trader-implied probabilities centered on 29–32 °C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official PAGASA observation at the primary Manila station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on August 20?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 20?
31°C 28%
30°C 19%
32°C 16%
29°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
12%
30°C
19%
31°C
28%
32°C
16%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 28%
30°C 19%
32°C 16%
29°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$0 Обс.
1%
28°C
$20 Обс.
9%
29°C
$2 Обс.
12%
30°C
$0 Обс.
19%
31°C
$0 Обс.
28%
32°C
$0 Обс.
16%
33°C
$0 Обс.
11%
34°C
$126 Обс.
3%
35°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon (habagat) continues to dominate Metro Manila, producing persistent cloudy skies, scattered rains, and thunderstorms that limit solar heating and cap daytime highs. PAGASA’s extended outlook projects a 26–33 °C range for August 20, while AccuWeather’s August guidance shows daily maxima between 28.5–32.3 °C against a monthly average near 30 °C. These conditions align with climatological norms for late-August Manila, where high humidity and frequent precipitation typically suppress peaks relative to clearer periods. Recent model consensus and the absence of strong subsidence or breaks in the monsoon flow keep trader-implied probabilities centered on 29–32 °C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official PAGASA observation at the primary Manila station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$148Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon (habagat) continues to dominate Metro Manila, producing persistent cloudy skies, scattered rains, and thunderstorms that limit solar heating and cap daytime highs. PAGASA’s extended outlook projects a 26–33 °C range for August 20, while AccuWeather’s August guidance shows daily maxima between 28.5–32.3 °C against a monthly average near 30 °C. These conditions align with climatological norms for late-August Manila, where high humidity and frequent precipitation typically suppress peaks relative to clearer periods. Recent model consensus and the absence of strong subsidence or breaks in the monsoon flow keep trader-implied probabilities centered on 29–32 °C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official PAGASA observation at the primary Manila station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$148Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The southwest monsoon (habagat) continues to dominate Metro Manila, producing persistent cloudy skies, scattered rains, and thunderstorms that limit solar heating and cap daytime highs. PAGASA’s extended outlook projects a 26–33 °C range for August 20, while AccuWeather’s August guidance shows daily maxima between 28.5–32.3 °C against a monthly average near 30 °C. These conditions align with climatological norms for late-August Manila, where high humidity and frequent precipitation typically suppress peaks relative to clearer periods. Recent model consensus and the absence of strong subsidence or breaks in the monsoon flow keep trader-implied probabilities centered on 29–32 °C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official PAGASA observation at the primary Manila station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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