Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com point to Moscow highs near 19–22°C on August 20, with partly cloudy conditions and light winds limiting strong diurnal heating. Model consensus shows modest variability driven by subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical August averages of 20–22°C provide baseline context, yet current steering patterns and any late adjustments in European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs introduce the uncertainty reflected in the tightly clustered market probabilities around 19–21°C. Updated guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will refine these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 20?
21°C 33%
20°C 29%
19°C 21%
22°C 16%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
11%
19°C
21%
20°C
29%
21°C
33%
22°C
13%
23°C
11%
24°C
7%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 33%
20°C 29%
19°C 21%
22°C 16%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
11%
19°C
21%
20°C
29%
21°C
33%
22°C
13%
23°C
11%
24°C
7%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com point to Moscow highs near 19–22°C on August 20, with partly cloudy conditions and light winds limiting strong diurnal heating. Model consensus shows modest variability driven by subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical August averages of 20–22°C provide baseline context, yet current steering patterns and any late adjustments in European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs introduce the uncertainty reflected in the tightly clustered market probabilities around 19–21°C. Updated guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will refine these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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