Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 33°C daytime maximum for Incheon on August 19 under building high pressure following mid-August showers, though increasing cloud cover from morning to afternoon introduces variability that caps the precise peak. Ensemble model consensus and historical August analogs support trader emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes, as subtle differences in wind patterns, humidity, or residual moisture timing can shift the observed high by 1–2°C within Seoul’s urban heat island effects. With the event only 48 hours away, refined KMA updates and hourly guidance will likely tighten market-implied odds around these central bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 19?
30°C 40%
29°C 31%
31°C 18%
28°C 10%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
10%
29°C
31%
30°C
40%
31°C
18%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 40%
29°C 31%
31°C 18%
28°C 10%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
10%
29°C
31%
30°C
40%
31°C
18%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 33°C daytime maximum for Incheon on August 19 under building high pressure following mid-August showers, though increasing cloud cover from morning to afternoon introduces variability that caps the precise peak. Ensemble model consensus and historical August analogs support trader emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes, as subtle differences in wind patterns, humidity, or residual moisture timing can shift the observed high by 1–2°C within Seoul’s urban heat island effects. With the event only 48 hours away, refined KMA updates and hourly guidance will likely tighten market-implied odds around these central bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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