Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a daily maximum near 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17 under cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers, aligning with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Mid-August subtropical conditions typically produce highs averaging 31–32°C, moderated by high humidity, light easterly winds, and potential afternoon convection that caps peak temperatures. Recent days have seen similar readings around 30–34°C without major typhoon influences or extreme heat domes shifting the pattern. Official observations will resolve the market against these thresholds, with traders weighting the consensus range given short-term model agreement and climatological baselines.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 17?
31°C 46%
30°C 27%
32°C 19%
29°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
27%
31°C
46%
32°C
19%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 46%
30°C 27%
32°C 19%
29°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
25°C or below
$159 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$158 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$41 Обс.
1%
28°C
$454 Обс.
3%
29°C
$1,421 Обс.
6%
30°C
$556 Обс.
27%
31°C
$932 Обс.
46%
32°C
$1,213 Обс.
19%
33°C
$173 Обс.
2%
34°C
$709 Обс.
2%
35°C or higher
$393 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a daily maximum near 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17 under cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers, aligning with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Mid-August subtropical conditions typically produce highs averaging 31–32°C, moderated by high humidity, light easterly winds, and potential afternoon convection that caps peak temperatures. Recent days have seen similar readings around 30–34°C without major typhoon influences or extreme heat domes shifting the pattern. Official observations will resolve the market against these thresholds, with traders weighting the consensus range given short-term model agreement and climatological baselines.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,208Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a daily maximum near 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17 under cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers, aligning with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Mid-August subtropical conditions typically produce highs averaging 31–32°C, moderated by high humidity, light easterly winds, and potential afternoon convection that caps peak temperatures. Recent days have seen similar readings around 30–34°C without major typhoon influences or extreme heat domes shifting the pattern. Official observations will resolve the market against these thresholds, with traders weighting the consensus range given short-term model agreement and climatological baselines.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,208Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a daily maximum near 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17 under cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers, aligning with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Mid-August subtropical conditions typically produce highs averaging 31–32°C, moderated by high humidity, light easterly winds, and potential afternoon convection that caps peak temperatures. Recent days have seen similar readings around 30–34°C without major typhoon influences or extreme heat domes shifting the pattern. Official observations will resolve the market against these thresholds, with traders weighting the consensus range given short-term model agreement and climatological baselines.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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