Recent forecast model runs from the UK Met Office and BBC place Wuhan's daytime maximum near 34–35 °C on August 21 under light northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and a modest chance of showers that could limit peak heating. These conditions align with the subtropical monsoon regime's typical late-summer pattern of warm, humid air masses occasionally moderated by transient cloud cover or weak frontal passages. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, with only modest upside risk if insolation increases or downside risk if convective activity strengthens, keeping the market-implied probabilities centered on 35 °C and 36 °C. Updated guidance from official agencies and any new satellite or radiosonde data expected tomorrow morning will be the next key inputs for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 21?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 21?
35°C 47%
36°C 35%
34°C 11%
37°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
11%
35°C
47%
36°C
35%
37°C
8%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 47%
36°C 35%
34°C 11%
37°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
29°C or below
$384 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$386 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$478 Обс.
1%
32°C
$195 Обс.
2%
33°C
$258 Обс.
3%
34°C
$304 Обс.
11%
35°C
$1,044 Обс.
47%
36°C
$409 Обс.
35%
37°C
$159 Обс.
8%
38°C
$328 Обс.
2%
39°C or higher
$6 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from the UK Met Office and BBC place Wuhan's daytime maximum near 34–35 °C on August 21 under light northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and a modest chance of showers that could limit peak heating. These conditions align with the subtropical monsoon regime's typical late-summer pattern of warm, humid air masses occasionally moderated by transient cloud cover or weak frontal passages. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, with only modest upside risk if insolation increases or downside risk if convective activity strengthens, keeping the market-implied probabilities centered on 35 °C and 36 °C. Updated guidance from official agencies and any new satellite or radiosonde data expected tomorrow morning will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,950Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from the UK Met Office and BBC place Wuhan's daytime maximum near 34–35 °C on August 21 under light northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and a modest chance of showers that could limit peak heating. These conditions align with the subtropical monsoon regime's typical late-summer pattern of warm, humid air masses occasionally moderated by transient cloud cover or weak frontal passages. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, with only modest upside risk if insolation increases or downside risk if convective activity strengthens, keeping the market-implied probabilities centered on 35 °C and 36 °C. Updated guidance from official agencies and any new satellite or radiosonde data expected tomorrow morning will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,950Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from the UK Met Office and BBC place Wuhan's daytime maximum near 34–35 °C on August 21 under light northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and a modest chance of showers that could limit peak heating. These conditions align with the subtropical monsoon regime's typical late-summer pattern of warm, humid air masses occasionally moderated by transient cloud cover or weak frontal passages. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, with only modest upside risk if insolation increases or downside risk if convective activity strengthens, keeping the market-implied probabilities centered on 35 °C and 36 °C. Updated guidance from official agencies and any new satellite or radiosonde data expected tomorrow morning will be the next key inputs for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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