Latest National Weather Service guidance positions Denver for a high near 94–97°F on August 21 under sunny skies and persistent high pressure, aligning with the market’s 51% implied probability on 96–97°F. Above-average warmth across the Front Range, following early-August records exceeding 100°F, has kept ensemble means elevated, while limited moisture and weak steering flow reduce cooling potential. Climatologically, mid-to-late August highs average near 86°F, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment toward or away from the 98–99°F bin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Denver on August 21?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 21?
96-97°F 51%
98-99°F 30%
94-95°F 17%
102-103°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
17%
96-97°F
51%
98-99°F
30%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
6%
96-97°F 51%
98-99°F 30%
94-95°F 17%
102-103°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
87°F or below
$13 Обс.
1%
88-89°F
$13 Обс.
1%
90-91°F
$5 Обс.
4%
92-93°F
$13 Обс.
5%
94-95°F
$67 Обс.
17%
96-97°F
$78 Обс.
51%
98-99°F
$31 Обс.
30%
100-101°F
$49 Обс.
3%
102-103°F
$10 Обс.
6%
104-105°F
$13 Обс.
1%
106°F or higher
$5 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance positions Denver for a high near 94–97°F on August 21 under sunny skies and persistent high pressure, aligning with the market’s 51% implied probability on 96–97°F. Above-average warmth across the Front Range, following early-August records exceeding 100°F, has kept ensemble means elevated, while limited moisture and weak steering flow reduce cooling potential. Climatologically, mid-to-late August highs average near 86°F, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment toward or away from the 98–99°F bin.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$299Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance positions Denver for a high near 94–97°F on August 21 under sunny skies and persistent high pressure, aligning with the market’s 51% implied probability on 96–97°F. Above-average warmth across the Front Range, following early-August records exceeding 100°F, has kept ensemble means elevated, while limited moisture and weak steering flow reduce cooling potential. Climatologically, mid-to-late August highs average near 86°F, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment toward or away from the 98–99°F bin.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$299Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance positions Denver for a high near 94–97°F on August 21 under sunny skies and persistent high pressure, aligning with the market’s 51% implied probability on 96–97°F. Above-average warmth across the Front Range, following early-August records exceeding 100°F, has kept ensemble means elevated, while limited moisture and weak steering flow reduce cooling potential. Climatologically, mid-to-late August highs average near 86°F, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment toward or away from the 98–99°F bin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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