Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's daily minimum temperature on August 20 will most likely settle near 27°C, aligning with the market's dominant 59% implied probability for that outcome. In Shanghai's humid subtropical climate during late August, overnight lows typically range 25–28°C under prevailing southerly monsoon flow and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Recent model runs show scattered showers and cloud cover moderating temperatures without significant cold advection, supporting the 26–28°C cluster that accounts for over 98% of trader consensus. Historical climatology places average August minima around 26°C, with current conditions tracking near normal absent any tropical system influence. Updated regional guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will refine these projections and may shift probabilities if convection patterns intensify.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 20?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 20?
27°C 59%
28°C 27%
26°C 13%
29°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
59%
28°C
27%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 59%
28°C 27%
26°C 13%
29°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
22°C or below
$100 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$13 Обс.
1%
24°C
$15 Обс.
1%
25°C
$8 Обс.
3%
26°C
$64 Обс.
13%
27°C
$301 Обс.
59%
28°C
$52 Обс.
27%
29°C
$117 Обс.
3%
30°C
$49 Обс.
1%
31°C
$206 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$286 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's daily minimum temperature on August 20 will most likely settle near 27°C, aligning with the market's dominant 59% implied probability for that outcome. In Shanghai's humid subtropical climate during late August, overnight lows typically range 25–28°C under prevailing southerly monsoon flow and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Recent model runs show scattered showers and cloud cover moderating temperatures without significant cold advection, supporting the 26–28°C cluster that accounts for over 98% of trader consensus. Historical climatology places average August minima around 26°C, with current conditions tracking near normal absent any tropical system influence. Updated regional guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will refine these projections and may shift probabilities if convection patterns intensify.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,212Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's daily minimum temperature on August 20 will most likely settle near 27°C, aligning with the market's dominant 59% implied probability for that outcome. In Shanghai's humid subtropical climate during late August, overnight lows typically range 25–28°C under prevailing southerly monsoon flow and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Recent model runs show scattered showers and cloud cover moderating temperatures without significant cold advection, supporting the 26–28°C cluster that accounts for over 98% of trader consensus. Historical climatology places average August minima around 26°C, with current conditions tracking near normal absent any tropical system influence. Updated regional guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will refine these projections and may shift probabilities if convection patterns intensify.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,212Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's daily minimum temperature on August 20 will most likely settle near 27°C, aligning with the market's dominant 59% implied probability for that outcome. In Shanghai's humid subtropical climate during late August, overnight lows typically range 25–28°C under prevailing southerly monsoon flow and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Recent model runs show scattered showers and cloud cover moderating temperatures without significant cold advection, supporting the 26–28°C cluster that accounts for over 98% of trader consensus. Historical climatology places average August minima around 26°C, with current conditions tracking near normal absent any tropical system influence. Updated regional guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will refine these projections and may shift probabilities if convection patterns intensify.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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