National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a high near 79°F in New York City on August 21 under mostly cloudy skies with northeast winds, driving the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for the 78-79°F outcome. This aligns with near-average late-August conditions, where cooler maritime air and moderate humidity limit daytime heating compared to peak summer highs, consistent with historical data placing mid-to-upper 70s as typical without strong ridging. Recent model runs show strong agreement with minimal instability. Afternoon clearing or localized warming could realistically push readings into the low 80s, though current observations make such shifts highly improbable before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on August 21?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 21?
78-79°F 99.5%
80-81°F 2%
82-83°F <1%
71°F or below <1%
$89,293 Обс.
$89,293 Обс.
Aug 21, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 99.5%
80-81°F 2%
82-83°F <1%
71°F or below <1%
$89,293 Обс.
$89,293 Обс.
Aug 21, 2026
71°F or below
$26,570 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$8,265 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$8,881 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$11,566 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$8,053 Обс.
100%
80-81°F
$10,003 Обс.
2%
82-83°F
$5,469 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$5,252 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$2,334 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$1,712 Обс.
<1%
90°F or higher
$1,187 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a high near 79°F in New York City on August 21 under mostly cloudy skies with northeast winds, driving the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for the 78-79°F outcome. This aligns with near-average late-August conditions, where cooler maritime air and moderate humidity limit daytime heating compared to peak summer highs, consistent with historical data placing mid-to-upper 70s as typical without strong ridging. Recent model runs show strong agreement with minimal instability. Afternoon clearing or localized warming could realistically push readings into the low 80s, though current observations make such shifts highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$89,293Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a high near 79°F in New York City on August 21 under mostly cloudy skies with northeast winds, driving the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for the 78-79°F outcome. This aligns with near-average late-August conditions, where cooler maritime air and moderate humidity limit daytime heating compared to peak summer highs, consistent with historical data placing mid-to-upper 70s as typical without strong ridging. Recent model runs show strong agreement with minimal instability. Afternoon clearing or localized warming could realistically push readings into the low 80s, though current observations make such shifts highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$89,293Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a high near 79°F in New York City on August 21 under mostly cloudy skies with northeast winds, driving the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for the 78-79°F outcome. This aligns with near-average late-August conditions, where cooler maritime air and moderate humidity limit daytime heating compared to peak summer highs, consistent with historical data placing mid-to-upper 70s as typical without strong ridging. Recent model runs show strong agreement with minimal instability. Afternoon clearing or localized warming could realistically push readings into the low 80s, though current observations make such shifts highly improbable before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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