Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum of around 20°C for Amsterdam on August 23, aligning with the market’s leading 20°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Mid-to-late August climatology in the region typically features daytime highs of 19–22°C amid moderating Atlantic influences and light winds, with current model runs showing stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover supporting this range. Traders appear to weigh the consensus between 19–21°C outcomes while discounting higher thresholds, as no anomalous warming signals have emerged in the latest guidance. Short-term model updates over the next 48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 23?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 23?
20°C 51%
19°C 36%
21°C 20%
18°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
12%
19°C
26%
20°C
51%
21°C
20%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 51%
19°C 36%
21°C 20%
18°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$0 Обс.
1%
17°C
$50 Обс.
7%
18°C
$30 Обс.
12%
19°C
$39 Обс.
26%
20°C
$71 Обс.
51%
21°C
$0 Обс.
20%
22°C
$0 Обс.
5%
23°C
$8 Обс.
2%
24°C
$20 Обс.
1%
25°C or higher
$20 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum of around 20°C for Amsterdam on August 23, aligning with the market’s leading 20°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Mid-to-late August climatology in the region typically features daytime highs of 19–22°C amid moderating Atlantic influences and light winds, with current model runs showing stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover supporting this range. Traders appear to weigh the consensus between 19–21°C outcomes while discounting higher thresholds, as no anomalous warming signals have emerged in the latest guidance. Short-term model updates over the next 48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$238Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum of around 20°C for Amsterdam on August 23, aligning with the market’s leading 20°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Mid-to-late August climatology in the region typically features daytime highs of 19–22°C amid moderating Atlantic influences and light winds, with current model runs showing stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover supporting this range. Traders appear to weigh the consensus between 19–21°C outcomes while discounting higher thresholds, as no anomalous warming signals have emerged in the latest guidance. Short-term model updates over the next 48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$238Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum of around 20°C for Amsterdam on August 23, aligning with the market’s leading 20°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Mid-to-late August climatology in the region typically features daytime highs of 19–22°C amid moderating Atlantic influences and light winds, with current model runs showing stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover supporting this range. Traders appear to weigh the consensus between 19–21°C outcomes while discounting higher thresholds, as no anomalous warming signals have emerged in the latest guidance. Short-term model updates over the next 48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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